It's awards season, so naturally I'm making predictions, as I am some kind of Awards Season Geek. I don't have much time though, so there'll be very few comments.
My special guest, Griz, once again helpfully contributes (in purple). Actual nominations in red.
PICTURE (DRAMA)
12 years a slave
Gravity
Saving Mr. Banks X Philomena
The Butler X Rush
Captain Phillips
Alt. Blue Jasmine
• 12 Years a Slave
• The Butler
• Captain Phillips
• Gravity
• Saving Mr. Banks
———————————————————————
Alt: Blue Jasmine
PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
August: Osage County X
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street
American Hustle
Her
Alt. Inside Llewyn Davis
• American Hustle
• Her
• Inside Llewyn Davis
• Nebraska
• The Wolf of Wall Street
———————————————————————
Alt: August: Osage County
Why would anyone bet against the star power of August: Osage County. Ahem. X I eat crows.
DIRECTOR
Steve McQueen
Alfonso Cuarón
David O. Russell
Martin Scorsese X Paul Greengrass
Spike Jonze X Alexander Payne
Alt. Woody Allen
• Alfonso Cuarón - Gravity
• Paul Greengrass - Captain Phillips
• Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
• David O. Russell - American Hustle
• Martin Scorsese - The Wolf of Wall Street
———————————————————————
Alt: Joel & Ethan Coen - Inside Llewyn Davis
ACTOR (DRAMA)
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Tom Hanks
Forest Whitaker X
Idris Elba
Matthew McConaughey
Alt. Robert Redford
• Chiwetel Ejiofor - 12 Years a Slave
• Tom Hanks - Captain Phillips
• Matthew McConaughey - Dallas Buyers Club
• Robert Redford - All Is Lost
• Forest Whitaker - The Butler
———————————————————————
Alt: Idris Elba - Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Will Elba squeak in by playing the recently deceased Mandela?
ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Leonardo DiCaprio
Joaquin Phoenix
Christian Bale
Bruce Dern
James Gandolfini X Oscar Isaac
Alt. Joseph Gordon-Levitt
• Bruce Dern - Nebraska
• Leonardo DiCaprio - The Wolf of Wall Street
• James Gandolfini - Enough Said
• Oscar Isaac - Inside Llewyn Davis
• Joaquin Phoenix - Her
———————————————————————
Alt: Christian Bale - American Hustle
Gandolfini's placement is confusing - lead or supporting? We'll see soon enough.
ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Cate Blanchette
Sandra Bullock
Emma Thompson
Judi Dench
Adèle Exarchopoulos X
Alt. Kate Winslet
• Cate Blanchett - Blue Jasmine
• Sandra Bullock - Gravity
• Judi Dench - Philomena
• Adèle Exarchoupoulus - Blue is the Warmest Colour
• Emma Thompson - Saving Mr. Banks
———————————————————————
Alt: Kate Winslet - Labor Day
I guess this category is pretty solid?
ACTRESS (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
Amy Adams
Meryl Streep
Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Melissa McCarthy X Julie Delpy
Scarlett Johansson X
Alt. Greta Gerwig
• Amy Adams - American Hustle
• Scarlett Johansson - Don Jon
• Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Enough Said
• Melissa McCarthy - The Heat
• Meryl Streep - August: Osage County
———————————————————————
Alt: Julie Delpy - Before Midnight
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Barkhad Abdi
Michael Fassbender
Jared Leto
Bradley Cooper
Daniel Bruhl
Alt. Jonah Hill
• Bradley Cooper - American Hustle
• Michael Fassbender - 12 Years a Slave
• Jared Leto - Dallas Buyers Club
• Tom Hanks - Saving Mr. Banks
• Jonah Hill - The Wolf of Wall Street
———————————————————————
Alt: Matthew McConaughey - Mud
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Lupita Nyong'o
June Squibb
Jennifer Lawrence
Julia Roberts
Oprah Winfrey X
Alt. Sally Hawkins
• Jennifer Lawrence - American Hustle
• Lupita Nyong’o - 12 Years a Slave
• Julia Roberts - August: Osage County
• June Squibb - Nebraska
• Oprah Winfrey - The Butler
———————————————————————
Alt: Octavia Spencer - Fruitvale Station
SCREENPLAY
12 years a slave
Blue Jasmine X Her
American Hustle
Nebraska
August: Osage County X Philomena
Alt. The Wolf of Wall Street
• American Hustle
• Blue Jasmine
• Inside Llewyn Davis
• Nebraska
———————————————————————
Alt: Saving Mr. Banks
FOREIGN FILM FEATURE
Blue is the warmest colour
Wadjda X The Wind Rises
The hunt
The Great Beauty
The Past
Alt. The Grandmaster
• Blue is the Warmest Colour
• Gloria
• The Great Beauty
• The Past
• Wadjda
———————————————————————
Alt: The Hunt
I have no clue other than Blue. The Great Beauty is wishful thinking.
ANIMATED FEATURE
Frozen
Despicable Me 2
Monsters university X
The croods
The wind rises X
Alt. Epic
• Despicable Me 2
• Epic
• Frozen
• Monsters University
• The Wind Rises
———————————————————————
Alt: The Croods
SCORE
Saving Mr. Banks X All is lost
12 years a slave
Philomena X Mandela
Gravity
Monsters university X
Alt. The book thief
• 12 Years a Slave
• The Book Thief
• Gravity
• Philomena
• Saving Mr. Banks
———————————————————————
Alt: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
SONG
Something from Frozen
Something from The Great Gatsby X Mandela
Something from Her X Inside Llewyn Davis
Something from The Hunger Games
And that one from Epic X One chance
Alt. The Butler, why not.
• Despicable Me 2
• Epic
• Frozen
• The Great Gatsby
• The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
———————————————————————
Alt: The Butler
And it begun.
Tally: Multiple nominations
12 Years a slave - 7 nominations
American Hustle - 6 nominations
Gravity - 4 nominations
Nebraska - 4 nominations
Captain Phillips - 4 nominations
Her - 3 nominations
Philomena - 3 nominations
Inside Llewyn Lewis - 3 nominations
Mandela - 3 nominations
Dallas Buyers Club - 2 nominations
The Wolf of Wall Street - 2 nominations
Rush - 2 nominations
All is lost - 2 nominations
How did we do?
Editor - 48/68 (without alternates) or 70.59%; 54/68 (with alternates) or 79.41%
Griz - 46/68 (without alternates) or 67.65%; 52/68 (with alternates) or 76.47%
I am victorious!
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