R.I.P., Alan Rickman

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We lost a magnetic giant in the acting world today. How sad that he followed another Brit icon's (David Bowie, of course) death so soon. People may know him more widely as the darkly mysterious Professor Snape, but my favourite Alan Rickman's performance is in Sense and Sensibility. The Atlantic has a good article on a certain sentimental but complicated sensibility he's brought to his romantic leading roles.

Rest in peace. :(

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Oscars 2016 Nominations: a wild pre-season comes to a snub-filled end

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With the caveats that the Academy nominations are based on popular votes by its members, which means the nominees tend to have "good"ish appeal to most people, rather than necessarily the "best" in its category by any one's biased measure, here are the snubs and strange nominations this season:

BIG SURPRISES
- Mad Max, although tipped off by precursors and critics' awards, is somewhat of a strange picture to receive that many nominations considering it is essentially a genre film, and one that belongs to the most looked-down-upon genre: action movies. The fact that it did not just receive all technical nominations, but that it also scored Director and Picture is a huge deal to that particular genre. It did what the Nolan pictures couldn't. It got not just the sound and visual effects nominations, but also nominations in categories traditionally belonging to "serious" fares, like cinematography and film editing. Amazing feats, really, and one of the better stories coming out of this awards season. However, it missed landing an acting nomination for Charlize Theron. That's a shame considering how central that character is in lending Mad Max that gravitas necessary to be taken seriously. I'm also peeved that its score was left out in favour of something familiar like Star Wars.

- Room did as well as it could, landing one of the biggest surprises of the season: Directing for Lenny Abrahamson. None of the precursors pointed to this outcome so this was definitely a curve ball (which we knew would happen in the directing category - the Academy Director branch is almost as singular as the Academy Foreign Film branch!).

- The Martian faced the biggest snub in directing. Considering Ridley Scott just won the Globes, it's surprising he didn't land at least a nomination here. Although we knew not all the DGA nominees would get it, he wasn't considered the shakey one.

- Carol failed to land in two of the biggest categories: Picture and Director. This must sting for its supporters.

- The Hateful Eight tanked with the exceptions of Jennifer Jason Leigh, cinematography and score. No Screenplay or Picture nomination. Weinstein must not be happy!

- Steve Jobs also under-performed, and lost out an expected biggie nomination in Screenplay.

- Beasts of No Nation lost out BIG time this season. By conventional logic, it should've picked up Supporting Actor for Idris Elba, at least. It's the kind of picture that would tend to do well broadly, if it's got any traction at all with the Academy. Of the snubs, to me, this seems to be the most puzzling omission because it's the kind of picture that would've been nominated for something had it been released in theatre.

- The Animated Features category screwed with us. Matters not, Inside out will win.

- Bryan Cranston broke the TV barrier and landed best actor for a little seen film that's accused of being TV-of-the-week type of film.

BETTER THAN EXPECTED
- The big short landed better than expected, with a bonus Director nod that was only slightly less surprising than Room's Lenny Abrahamson in the same category.
- Star Wars missed a Picture nom, but anyone who follows the race would know that it had little chance of nomination (this is the middlebrow Academy, after all, not the wild west). All things considered, it actually did pretty well with extra nods in film editing and score.

SLIGHTLY POORER THAN EXPECTED
- Brooklyn under-performed, only getting the sure-fire nods.
- Both Ex-Machina and Sicario did poorer than one would hope/expect, considering the support these two smaller indies seemed to gather before the announcement. They're playing like real indies in the race now too.
- Spotlight did not land Carrell a nod. It is no longer a front-runner, and that's disappointing for its people, I'm sure, even if Rachel McAdams rode the wave of support into a rather surprising nomination.

MINI PUZZLEMENT
- Given its dominance elsewhere, it was rather surprising that The Revenant missed out on Screenplay.
- The Danish Girl landed Alicia Vikander a nod in place of Ex-machina, which it really shouldn't but whatever. I'm sure she's happy with either.

THE RACE ISSUE
- Straight outta Compton's hope for awards glory was pretty short lived. On the one hand, wow it made Screenplay! On the other hand, it did not make best picture. However, when you really look at it, it makes sense that it would not. Consider the scenario where it is nominated for Best Picture: the only other nomination this "best picture" would have landed is Screenplay and nothing else. That's not a best-picture type of scenario. It was never going to happen, but SAG kinda raised false hope of diversity.

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Oscars 2016 Nominations (Predix & Actual): Furiously wide open

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The Oscars nominations are happening tomorrow! How's that for a fast and furious award season? We just had the Globes. In this wide open year, anything could happen. We could even be right with some of our predix! Here they are, from me and my friend, Griz (in Purple).

Post announcement (PA) comments in Blue.

PICTURE
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol x
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Straight outta Compton x

The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight


Editor Predix: If this was a field of 5, I'm certain we'd do better with our predictions. With so many iffy pictures, we could do really badly here comes tomorrow. If there's one sure thing, it's this: there will be snubs.

PA: Wow, only 8 nominees. They took up all the passionate votes, I guess. Yay Mad Max! Sad face for Hateful Eight.

DIRECTOR
Todd Haynes - Carol x Lenny Abrahamson - Room
Alejandro G, Iñárritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
László Nemes - Son of Saul x Adam Mckay - The Big Short

Alt: Ridley Scott - The Martian

Todd Haynes - Carol
Alejandro G. Iñárritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian

Alt: Adam McKay - The Big Short


Editor Predix: I'm going wild here. If there's any passionate support for Son of Saul, I don't know how you could overlook its flashiest selling point: direction. McKay is the weakest in terms of prestige, and Scott has directed more 'respected' films (not to say that he couldn't be nominated based on respect for his name alone).

PA: I correctly predicted Ridley Scott, but did not see Todd Haynes missing. Adam McKay, moving on up! A surprising line up, for sure. Carol is not feeling the love.

ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett- Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl x Charlotte Rampling - 45 years

Alt: Helen Mirren - Woman in Gold

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl

Alt: Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years


Editor Predix: I want so badly for Charlize Theron to get nominated here, but that would require such a huge wave of support and the precursors haven't indicated any of that. There's a bit of a category confusion here for Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander, so I'm not sure about my picking Alicia over Rooney. But Alicia brought me the tears!

PA: Charlotte Surprise! Ugh, I almost had this category! Griz correctly predicted Charlotte, while I let my bias against the performance clouded my prediction.

ACTOR
Steve Carrell - The Big Short x Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Matt Damon - The Martian
Leonardo di Caprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl

Alt: Bryan Cranston - Trumbo

Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Matt Damon - The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl

Alt: Johnny Depp - Black Mass


Editor Predix: I would've put in Johnny Depp, but he hasn't performed well in the precursors, which surprises me. I'd say Steve Carrell and Bryan Cranston can probably switch place. I'm not sure there's enough support to see Cranston go lead in the film (not TV) category.

PA: Griz's killing it! Wow, Cranston made the big leap.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina  x The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Helen Mirren - Trumbo x

Alt: Rachel McAdams - Spotlight

Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Helen Mirren - Trumbo
Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs

Alt: Jane Fonda - Youth


Editor Predix: I was surprised that JJL did not get a SAG nom, but I trust that the Academy would reward this delish performance. Rachel McAdams' nom is a strange one, considering how subdued her role is.

PA: I don't know how to count this. Category confusion! I did predict Alicia for The Danish Girl, just in the wrong category?

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation x Tom Hardy - The Revenant!
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Michael Shannon - 99 Homes x Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight

Christian Bale - The Big Short 
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation 
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight 
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies 
Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Alt: Michael Shannon - 99 Homes


Editor Predix: Where the heck did Michael Shannon come from, and how much should we weigh the SAG's predictability here? I'm iffy about leaving Mark Ruffalo out, but his twitchy character in Spotlight seems a little different from the usual classy acting he's used to be nominated for.

PA: I was wrong about Mark Ruffalo. He's like the new Meryl Streep or something. Also, WHY did I not put Sylvester in? I thought he was going to win the Oscars!

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight x
Sicario x Inside out
Spotlight
Straight outta Compton

Alt: Ex-Machina

Bridge of Spies 
Ex Machina 
The Hateful Eight 
Inside Out 
Spotlight

Alt: Sicario


Editor Predix: I can't believe Tarantino missed with the Guilds here. But if there's support for The Hateful Eight (which I'm actually not sure about considering its reception), they would nominate him here.

PA: Well I was right about the (underwhelming) support for Hateful Eight. Yay for Inside out though!

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Big Short
Carol
The Martian
Steve Jobs x Brooklyn
The Revenant x

Alt: Room

The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Steve Jobs

Alt: The Revenant


Predix: I'm only putting Revenant in because at this point, I actually think it's the front runner for best picture. And a front runner can't have its screenplay omitted. Well it can, but that wouldn't look good?

PA: I suppose the Screenplay categories are where the Academy spreads the love. Shocking Aaron Sorkin did not make it for Steve Jobs. Even more shocking is the Revenant missed it here. How is it winning without a screenplay nomination?

FOREIGN LANGUAGE
The Brand New Testament (Belgium)
Embrace of the Serpent (Columbia)
Labyrinth of lies (Germany) x Theeb (Jordan)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)

Alt: A war (Denmark)

The Brand New Testament (Belgium)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Theeb (Jordan)
Viva (Ireland)

Alt: A War (Denmark)


ANIMATED FEATURE
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur x Boy and the world
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie x When Marnie was there
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alt: Minions

Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alt: Minions


Editor Predix: I really can't see missing any from this category.

PA: Talk about eating crows! This is the most shocking of shocking categories this morning just in terms of how wrong we are and how out of the left field the nominees are.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Amy
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
Where to invade next x Ukraine fight for freedom
What happened, Miss Simone?

Alt: Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief

Amy
Cartel Land
He Named Me Malala
Listen to Me Marlon
The Look of Silence

Alt: Where to Invade Next


Editor Predix: A truly blind set of guesses, other than Amy. Why is the Look of Silence on for this year? I shouldn't complain - I was sad when I thought it missed last year.

PA: There has been no buzz for Where to Invade next, probably because it's not out yet. So it's only my fault that I thought it would count. I've seen the film, and I would be surprised if it's not nominated if people have seen it. Did they see it? What do I know??

EDITING
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario x Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Spotlight

Alt: The Martian

The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant

Alt: Spotlight


Editor Predix: I'm probably wrong for picking Sicario over The Martian, but whatever. Sicario is better edited, and also flashier.

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Bridge of Spies x Sicario
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Sicario

Bridge of Spies
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Alt: The Hateful Eight


PRODUCTION DESIGN
Carol x Bridge of spies
The Danish Girl
Brooklyn x The martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Crimson Peak

Bridge of Spies
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Danish Girl


Editor Predix: It maybe foolish to pick Crimson Peak as an alternate, but having seen that movie, it so deserves the nod.

VISUAL EFFECTS
Jurassic World x
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Ex-Machina

Jurassic World
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Ant-man


SOUND MIXING
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight

Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight


PA: Our best category!

SOUND EDITING
Inside Out x Sicario
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight 

The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Inside out


MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING
The Danish Girl x 100 year old man who climbed out the window and disappeared!!
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: The Hateful Eight 

Black Mass
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Mr. Holmes


PA: What the. lol

COSTUME
Brooklyn x The revenant
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road

Alt: Crimson Peak

Brooklyn
Carol
Cinderella
Crimson Peak
The Danish Girl

Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road


SCORE
Carol
The Danish Girl x Bridge of spies
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road x
The Revenant x Star wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Sicario  

Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Spotlight


PA: Really? Star Wars over Mad Max?

SONG
Fifty Shades of Grey
Furious 7 x Racing Extinction
The Hunting Ground
Spectre
Youth

Alt: Southpaw

Fifty Shades of Grey
Furious 7
The Hunting Ground
Spectre
Youth

Alt: Shaun the Sheep Movie


PA: Racing Extinction? Academy, you're weird.

Tally (noms per picture)
The Revenant 12
Mad Max: Fury Road 10
The Martian 7
Bridge of Spies 6
Spotlight 6
Carol 6
The big short 5
Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5
Room 4
The Danish Girl 4
Brooklyn 3 
The Hateful Eight 3
Sicario 3
Inside out 2
Steve Jobs 2
Ex-Machina 2

45 years 1
100 year old man who climbed out the window and disappeared 1
Amy 1
Anomalisa 1
Boy and the World 1 
Cartel Land 1
Cinderella 1
Creed 1
Embrace of the Serpent 1
Fifty shades of grey 1  
The hunting ground 1
Joy 1
The Look of Silence 1
Mustang 1
Racing Extinction 1
Shaun the Sheep Movie 1
Son of Saul 1
Spectre 1
Straight outta Compton 1
Theeb 1
Trumbo 1
Ukraine fight for freedom 1
A war 1
What happened, Miss Simone? 1
When Marnie was here 1
Youth 1

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2016 Golden Globes Winners

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Live!
In order of presentation:

Supporting Actress
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs!!!

Wow, no-one saw that coming! Vikander splits vote, and support for Jennifer Jason Leigh is not that high? And I really thought Jane Fonda was going to win it.

Score
Ennio Morricone - The Hateful Eight

That Quentin speech! Haha.That "ghetto" comment may ruffle some feathers. Just how much does Quentin respect film score? Or the ghetto? Get the press on it!

Actor (Comedy)
Matt Damon- The Martian

He walked pass Fassbender and Leo, everyone.

Animated Feature
Inside out

Supporting Actor
Sly Stallone!

Standing O! Take note, Oscars, here he comes.

Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin - Steve Jobs !!

Spotlight is going down! Also, the Globes really liked Steve Jobs!

Foreign Film
Son of Saul

Song
Spectre - Sam Smith, Writing on the wall

Not doing so well on predictions... Now I can start saying "Youth was robbed." Because it was.

Director
Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant

Yeah, the Revenant is winning it all.

Actress (comedy)
Jennifer Lawrence

That's nice.

Picture (comedy)
The Martian!

An old front-runner makes the race interesting again! But may be Scott, Ridley is going to speechify its chances away ...

Actress (drama)
Brie Larson

She will give me a thank you card. Okay.

Actor (drama)
Leonardo DiCaprio

The room erupted! He should've kept that speech for the Oscars.

Picture (drama)
The Revenant!

I knew it. I've seen the film, and I should've gone with my intestines.

It should be noted that both Leonardo DiCaprio and Kate Winslet won tonight.

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2016 Golden Globes Winners Predix: Will Spotlight take the spotlight? Or the Revenant rises?

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Time for wild predix! As usual, Griz's predictions in purple

PICTURE (DRAMA)
Spotlight
Alt. The Revenant

Spotlight 
Alt: The Revenant

Editor: I've actually seen all the films in this category so I feel I should be able to predict this one. Yet, I'm not quite sold on my choice. Spotlight is about journalism, which is somewhat a home field for the Globes' members, so I'm betting on self-interest voting. HOWEVER, having seen the Revenant, if they'd like to throw their predictive support towards a heavy weight, Leonardo's epic film may take the ball from a more subdued Spotlight. The other films don't factor much into the race. Unless Mad Max wins everything! HA.

PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
The Big Short
Alt. The Martian

The Big Short
Alt. The Martian

Editor: The race is between the crowd-pleasers Short and Martian. I'd say The Big Short because of a very hot McKay touch.

DIRECTOR
Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant
Alt. George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road

George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road 
Alt: Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant

Editor: I'd think the two show-y directorial presentations are the front runners, and AGI gets it for a more "artsy" film. Although, Ridley Scott may sneak in just because.

ACTOR (DRAMA)
Leonardo Di Caprio - The Revenant
Alt. Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs

Leonardo Di Caprio - The Revenant
Alt. Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs

Editor: It would be foolish for the Globes to reward this to anyone else but Leo. They like their TV viewership too much.

ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Matt Damon - The Martian
Alt. Steve Carrell - The Big Short

Christian Bale - The Big Short
Alt: Matt Damon - The Martian

Editor: That Matt Damon, he's just so likable! He'll be rewarded for carrying that movie to the bank, though Globes probably cares more that he's so darn likable.

ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Brie Larson - Room
Alt. Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Alt: Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn

Editor: Cate Blanchett basically reprises her Jasmine role from Blue Jasmine, so I'm not sure Globes would go for that. Alicia is the window to The Danish Girl, and the hot newcomer of the year. But, being nominated twice just means you're more likely to lose twice. It's Brie's to lose.

ACTRESS (COMEDY)
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Alt. Amy Schumer - Trainwreck

Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Alt: Melissa McCarthy - Spy

Editor: There's a very good chance the red-hot new comedienne Amy Schumer wins against her new bestie, J. Law. But, it's J. Law. Her star power and the actingness of her role win hearts.

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Alt. Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Alt: Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Editor: I haven't seen Spies, and don't really want to so I have no idea how Mark Rylance got here, never mind winning. Wouldn't it be something if Stallone wins an ACTING award though? I think they'll give it to Elba, because Globes doesn't care if Beasts is not released in the theatre. And because Idris is handsome.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jane Fonda -Youth
Alt. Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina

Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Alt: Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina

Editor: Alicia's chance of winning is greater in this supporting category, but ... Jane Fonda. I think Globes likes the spitfire performance. It's very, um, European.

SCREENPLAY
Spotlight
Alt. The Big Short

Spotlight
Alt. The Big Short

Editor: Spotlight is more serious of the two, so given the Globes' recent trend of superseriousness, I'd say the strong contender Big Short loses out (probably not by much).

FOREIGN FILM
Son of Saul
Alt. Mustang

Son of Saul
Alt. Mustang

Editor: It's safe to say Son of Saul is going to win the Oscars. Globes ain't no stray cat.

ANIMATED FEATURE
Inside Out
Alt. Anomalisa

Inside Out
Alt. Anomalisa

Editor: It's too bad I couldn't make Anomalisa happen before the Globes, so I really can't tell how this category plays out. However, given that Inside Out is some kind of a heart-warming success, it's likely the forgone-conclusion winner here. 

SCORE
The Hateful Eight
Alt. The Revenant

The Hateful Eight
Alt. Carol

Editor: Two powerful scores, one for the win. I'd bet on the famous Western composer.

SONG
Love & Mercy
Alt. Fifty shades of grey

Fifty Shades of Grey
Alt: Love & Mercy

Editor: I wish, wish so much that Youth would win its most deserving spot here, because that Simple Song is soul-shifting. Sigh. I am going for star-power instead.

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