Oscars 2016 Nominations (Predix & Actual): Furiously wide open

submit to reddit


The Oscars nominations are happening tomorrow! How's that for a fast and furious award season? We just had the Globes. In this wide open year, anything could happen. We could even be right with some of our predix! Here they are, from me and my friend, Griz (in Purple).

Post announcement (PA) comments in Blue.

PICTURE
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol x
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Straight outta Compton x

The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight


Editor Predix: If this was a field of 5, I'm certain we'd do better with our predictions. With so many iffy pictures, we could do really badly here comes tomorrow. If there's one sure thing, it's this: there will be snubs.

PA: Wow, only 8 nominees. They took up all the passionate votes, I guess. Yay Mad Max! Sad face for Hateful Eight.

DIRECTOR
Todd Haynes - Carol x Lenny Abrahamson - Room
Alejandro G, Iñárritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
László Nemes - Son of Saul x Adam Mckay - The Big Short

Alt: Ridley Scott - The Martian

Todd Haynes - Carol
Alejandro G. Iñárritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian

Alt: Adam McKay - The Big Short


Editor Predix: I'm going wild here. If there's any passionate support for Son of Saul, I don't know how you could overlook its flashiest selling point: direction. McKay is the weakest in terms of prestige, and Scott has directed more 'respected' films (not to say that he couldn't be nominated based on respect for his name alone).

PA: I correctly predicted Ridley Scott, but did not see Todd Haynes missing. Adam McKay, moving on up! A surprising line up, for sure. Carol is not feeling the love.

ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett- Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl x Charlotte Rampling - 45 years

Alt: Helen Mirren - Woman in Gold

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl

Alt: Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years


Editor Predix: I want so badly for Charlize Theron to get nominated here, but that would require such a huge wave of support and the precursors haven't indicated any of that. There's a bit of a category confusion here for Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander, so I'm not sure about my picking Alicia over Rooney. But Alicia brought me the tears!

PA: Charlotte Surprise! Ugh, I almost had this category! Griz correctly predicted Charlotte, while I let my bias against the performance clouded my prediction.

ACTOR
Steve Carrell - The Big Short x Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Matt Damon - The Martian
Leonardo di Caprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl

Alt: Bryan Cranston - Trumbo

Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Matt Damon - The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl

Alt: Johnny Depp - Black Mass


Editor Predix: I would've put in Johnny Depp, but he hasn't performed well in the precursors, which surprises me. I'd say Steve Carrell and Bryan Cranston can probably switch place. I'm not sure there's enough support to see Cranston go lead in the film (not TV) category.

PA: Griz's killing it! Wow, Cranston made the big leap.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina  x The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Helen Mirren - Trumbo x

Alt: Rachel McAdams - Spotlight

Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Helen Mirren - Trumbo
Alicia Vikander - Ex Machina
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs

Alt: Jane Fonda - Youth


Editor Predix: I was surprised that JJL did not get a SAG nom, but I trust that the Academy would reward this delish performance. Rachel McAdams' nom is a strange one, considering how subdued her role is.

PA: I don't know how to count this. Category confusion! I did predict Alicia for The Danish Girl, just in the wrong category?

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation x Tom Hardy - The Revenant!
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Michael Shannon - 99 Homes x Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight

Christian Bale - The Big Short 
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation 
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight 
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies 
Sylvester Stallone - Creed

Alt: Michael Shannon - 99 Homes


Editor Predix: Where the heck did Michael Shannon come from, and how much should we weigh the SAG's predictability here? I'm iffy about leaving Mark Ruffalo out, but his twitchy character in Spotlight seems a little different from the usual classy acting he's used to be nominated for.

PA: I was wrong about Mark Ruffalo. He's like the new Meryl Streep or something. Also, WHY did I not put Sylvester in? I thought he was going to win the Oscars!

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight x
Sicario x Inside out
Spotlight
Straight outta Compton

Alt: Ex-Machina

Bridge of Spies 
Ex Machina 
The Hateful Eight 
Inside Out 
Spotlight

Alt: Sicario


Editor Predix: I can't believe Tarantino missed with the Guilds here. But if there's support for The Hateful Eight (which I'm actually not sure about considering its reception), they would nominate him here.

PA: Well I was right about the (underwhelming) support for Hateful Eight. Yay for Inside out though!

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Big Short
Carol
The Martian
Steve Jobs x Brooklyn
The Revenant x

Alt: Room

The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Steve Jobs

Alt: The Revenant


Predix: I'm only putting Revenant in because at this point, I actually think it's the front runner for best picture. And a front runner can't have its screenplay omitted. Well it can, but that wouldn't look good?

PA: I suppose the Screenplay categories are where the Academy spreads the love. Shocking Aaron Sorkin did not make it for Steve Jobs. Even more shocking is the Revenant missed it here. How is it winning without a screenplay nomination?

FOREIGN LANGUAGE
The Brand New Testament (Belgium)
Embrace of the Serpent (Columbia)
Labyrinth of lies (Germany) x Theeb (Jordan)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)

Alt: A war (Denmark)

The Brand New Testament (Belgium)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Theeb (Jordan)
Viva (Ireland)

Alt: A War (Denmark)


ANIMATED FEATURE
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur x Boy and the world
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie x When Marnie was there
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alt: Minions

Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Alt: Minions


Editor Predix: I really can't see missing any from this category.

PA: Talk about eating crows! This is the most shocking of shocking categories this morning just in terms of how wrong we are and how out of the left field the nominees are.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Amy
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
Where to invade next x Ukraine fight for freedom
What happened, Miss Simone?

Alt: Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief

Amy
Cartel Land
He Named Me Malala
Listen to Me Marlon
The Look of Silence

Alt: Where to Invade Next


Editor Predix: A truly blind set of guesses, other than Amy. Why is the Look of Silence on for this year? I shouldn't complain - I was sad when I thought it missed last year.

PA: There has been no buzz for Where to Invade next, probably because it's not out yet. So it's only my fault that I thought it would count. I've seen the film, and I would be surprised if it's not nominated if people have seen it. Did they see it? What do I know??

EDITING
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario x Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Spotlight

Alt: The Martian

The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant

Alt: Spotlight


Editor Predix: I'm probably wrong for picking Sicario over The Martian, but whatever. Sicario is better edited, and also flashier.

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Bridge of Spies x Sicario
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Sicario

Bridge of Spies
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Alt: The Hateful Eight


PRODUCTION DESIGN
Carol x Bridge of spies
The Danish Girl
Brooklyn x The martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Crimson Peak

Bridge of Spies
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Danish Girl


Editor Predix: It maybe foolish to pick Crimson Peak as an alternate, but having seen that movie, it so deserves the nod.

VISUAL EFFECTS
Jurassic World x
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Ex-Machina

Jurassic World
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Ant-man


SOUND MIXING
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight

Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight


PA: Our best category!

SOUND EDITING
Inside Out x Sicario
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: The Hateful Eight 

The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Inside out


MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING
The Danish Girl x 100 year old man who climbed out the window and disappeared!!
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: The Hateful Eight 

Black Mass
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Alt: Mr. Holmes


PA: What the. lol

COSTUME
Brooklyn x The revenant
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road

Alt: Crimson Peak

Brooklyn
Carol
Cinderella
Crimson Peak
The Danish Girl

Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road


SCORE
Carol
The Danish Girl x Bridge of spies
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road x
The Revenant x Star wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Sicario  

Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Alt: Spotlight


PA: Really? Star Wars over Mad Max?

SONG
Fifty Shades of Grey
Furious 7 x Racing Extinction
The Hunting Ground
Spectre
Youth

Alt: Southpaw

Fifty Shades of Grey
Furious 7
The Hunting Ground
Spectre
Youth

Alt: Shaun the Sheep Movie


PA: Racing Extinction? Academy, you're weird.

Tally (noms per picture)
The Revenant 12
Mad Max: Fury Road 10
The Martian 7
Bridge of Spies 6
Spotlight 6
Carol 6
The big short 5
Star Wars: The Force Awakens 5
Room 4
The Danish Girl 4
Brooklyn 3 
The Hateful Eight 3
Sicario 3
Inside out 2
Steve Jobs 2
Ex-Machina 2

45 years 1
100 year old man who climbed out the window and disappeared 1
Amy 1
Anomalisa 1
Boy and the World 1 
Cartel Land 1
Cinderella 1
Creed 1
Embrace of the Serpent 1
Fifty shades of grey 1  
The hunting ground 1
Joy 1
The Look of Silence 1
Mustang 1
Racing Extinction 1
Shaun the Sheep Movie 1
Son of Saul 1
Spectre 1
Straight outta Compton 1
Theeb 1
Trumbo 1
Ukraine fight for freedom 1
A war 1
What happened, Miss Simone? 1
When Marnie was here 1
Youth 1



Related Posts :



1 Response to Oscars 2016 Nominations (Predix & Actual): Furiously wide open

Grizzly
January 14, 2016 at 10:13 AM

According to my calculations (feel free to double-check), you got 68 + 8 alternates (75% and 84%), and I got 70 + 7 alternates (77% and 85%)! Redemption for my Globes failure!

The only categories we both got fully correct was Sound Mixing (!), and I also got Best Actor 5/5. That was it! But we did pretty well overall, I'd say.

 

Copyright © 2016 Cinema Psychologia All rights reserved.
Converted To Blogger Template by Anshul Theme By- WooThemes