All at once now ... the Oscars goes to ...

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Pre-show: I just found out the Oscars is this weekend ... in about 2 hours or so. The neglect is real. I'm one of the plebs who occasionally watch something in theatre now, so it's hard to know what to predict/root for, which is so sad. In any case, I suppose I still care enough to make this list, so here goes nothing. (And my friend Griz's, again, in purple). Winners in red.

Brief comment: I'm not up to date on the complexity of politics in these awards, so these are based on pretty old standbys for wins. "Everything" is a lot of fun, and its competitors (for best picture) are just not strong enough to make it a horse race. It does not mean it is the best, remember.  Michelle was ok (she was the least impressive of the cast somehow?), but I have no bone to pick with her winning because I haven't even seen the other nominated actresses' performance (where's Florence Pugh, I ask you?)! I have to remind myself that the Academy awards the goodest (based on good enough quality, acting populist appeal, zeitgeist of the time, momentum/buzz), but not the best (even though there are happy occasions where these two qualities may overlap, like for Moonlight!), so this is pure fun to guess what's in favour these days. Occasionally, a pick would be puzzling or downright bad, because the time is right for that pick but not necessarily for its quality (e.g. Angela Bassett for Wakanda). And I am ok with that too, because this ain't no Cannes! 


Post show tally: I correctly predicted 17/20, Griz did 15/20 (+3 for alternates). Go us!


PICTURE


Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. All quiet on the Western front*
 
Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. All quiet on the Western front

*I don't think this is even my real pick, because the Best Picture win is a lock for Everywhere.

 

DIRECTOR

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert  - Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Todd Field - Tár
 
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert  - Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Ruben Östlund - Triangle of Sadness 

 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

All quiet on the Western front - Germany
Alt. Argentina, 1985

All quiet on the Western front - Germany
Alt. The quiet girl - Ireland

 

ANIMATED FEATURE

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Alt. Turning red

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio
Alt. Turning red

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Navalny
Alt. All the beauty and the bloodshed
 
All the beauty and the bloodshed
Alt. Navalny

 

ACTOR

Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Alt. Austin Butler - Elvis
 
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Alt. Austin Butler - Elvis

 

ACTRESS

Michelle Yeoh - Everything everywhere all at once*
Alt. Cate Blanchett - Tár
 
Cate Blanchett - Tár 
Alt: Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once

 

*The SAG win changed my mind.

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jamie Lee Curtis -  Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda forever*
 
Jamie Lee Curtis -  Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda forever

 

*It would be a shame for her to win for the worse role, but she is a great actress otherwise.

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Ke Huy Quan - Everything everywhere all at once*
Alt. Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin

Ke Huy Quan - Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin

 

*No need to predict this one - like best picture, it is the lockiest pick that is ever locked.

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Triangle of sadness
 
Everything everywhere all at once
Alt. Triangle of sadness

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Women talking 
Alt. All quiet on the Western front
 
All quiet on the Western front 
Alt. Women talking 

 

FILM EDITING

Everything everywhere all at once 
Alt. Top gun: Maverick

Everything everywhere all at once 
Alt. Top gun: Maverick

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY 

All quiet on the Western front
Alt. Tár

All quiet on the Western front
Alt. Elvis 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Elvis x All quiet on the Western front
Alt. Babylon

Babylon
Alt. Elvis

 

SOUND

Top Gun: Maverick
Alt. All quiet on the Western front
 
Top Gun: Maverick 
Alt: All quiet on the Western front

 

COSTUME

Elvis x Black Panther: Wakanda forever
Alt: Babylon

Elvis 
Alt: Babylon

 

MAKE UP AND HAIRSTYLING

The Whale
Alt. Elvis
 
The Whale
Alt. The Batman

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar: the way of water
Alt. All quiet on the Western front
 
Avatar: the way of water
Alt. The Batman

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

All quiet on the Western front
Alt. The Banshees of Inisherin

All quiet on the Western front
Alt. The Fabelmans

 

ORIGINAL SONG

Lift me up - Black Panther: Wakanda forever x Naatu naatu
Alt. Hold my hand - Top Gun: Maverick
 
Naatu naatu - RRR
Alt. Hold my hand - Top Gun: Maverick

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Oscars nominations 2023: Everything Everywhere

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Disclosure: I googled what actually came out that would be eligible for the Oscars, because watching movies at home and at the theatres have become a blur. 'tis a sad state of big screen cinemas.

My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

Disclaimer: I have not been following the award season at all, so basically this prediction set is based on mostly my own biased views.

PICTURE

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: the Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Tár
The Whale
Women Talking

Alt. The Wonder

Is it wishful to put The Wonder in as Alt., when I could've put in Top Gun? Or the disbelief that Top Gun would actually be a best picture nominee is valid? I voted against it twice on this list, placing Glass Onion instead of it in the main section. I'm sticking to my non-violent gun.

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
The Whale
Women Talking

DIRECTOR

Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin
Edward Berger - All Quiet on the Western Front
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
Todd Field - Tár

Alt. Baz Luhrman - Elvis

I can not imagine the Academy is going with any director of action movies, or Luhrman.

Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin  
Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans
Baz Luhrman - Elvis
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Todd Field - Tár

Alt: Joseph Kosinski - Top Gun: Maverick

ACTRESS

Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Cate Blanchett - Tár
Danielle Deadwyler - Till
Viola Davis - The Woman King
Ana de Armas - Blonde

Alt. Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans

It's really a two-actors race here, innit?

Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans
Cate Blanchett - Tár
Danielle Deadwyler - Till
Viola Davis - The Woman King

Alt:
Ana de Armas - Blonde

ACTOR

Austin Butler - Elvis   
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser - The Whale
Bill Nighy - Living
Paul Mescal - Aftersun

Alt. Daniel Kaluuya  – Nope

Kaluuya should be there, even if his odds are not high.


Paul Mescal - Aftersun
Colin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
Austin Butler - Elvis
Bill Nighy - Living
Brendan Fraser - The Whale

Alt: Huge Jackman - The Son


SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Hong Chau - The Whale

Alt. Keke Palmer – Nope

I love Bassett, in everything else, but she was actressing in every scene in Panther. It's truly puzzling to me that she's in the race. And also, I may be overplaying my Nope votes here.

Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Hong Chau - The Whale


Alt: Jessie Buckley - Women Talking

SUPPORTING ACTOR
 

Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Paul Dano - The Fabelmans
Eddie Redmayne - The Good Nurse

Alt. Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans


Maybe SAG seals the deal, but we all know who's gonna win anyway.

Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin 

Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once
Eddie Redmayne - The Good Nurse 

Paul Dano - The Fabelmans

Alt: Judd Hirsch - The Fabelmans

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
 

Aftersun 
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
The Banshees of Inisherin

Alt. Triangle of Sadness
 

I wonder if Turning Red could make it?

Aftersun The Banshees of Inisherin Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans Tár  Alt: Triangle of Sadness
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Tár  

Alt: Triangle of Sadness


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

All Quiet on the Western Front Living The Whale Women Talking  Alt: She Said
Glass Onion
Living
The Whale
Women Talking

Alt. She Said

Eh?

All Quiet on the Western Front Glass Onion Living The Whale Women Talking  Alt: She Said
Glass Onion
Living
The Whale
Women Talking

Alt: She Said

That's all I've got, but, Griz's got more!

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

All Quiet on the Western Front
Elvis
Empire of Light
The Fabelmans
Top Gun: Maverick
 

Alt: The Batman

The Menu had great cinematography, but I also would've put Nope in as well.


BEST FILM EDITING
The Banshees of Inisherin Elvis Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans Top Gun: Maverick Alt: All Quiet on the Western Front BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Avatar: The Way of Water Babylon Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis The Fabelmans Alt: Glass Onion BEST COSTUME DESIGN Babylon Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis The Fabelmans Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris Alt: Corsage BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING All Quiet on the Western Front The Batman Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis The Whale Alt: Babylon BEST SOUND All Quiet on the Western Front Avatar: The Way of Water The Batman Elvis Top Gun: Maverick Alt: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever BEST VISUAL EFFECTS All Quiet on the Western Front Avatar: The Way of Water The Batman Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Top Gun: Maverick Alt: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

Top Gun is more of a practical effects innit? BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Babylon The Banshees of Inisherin Black Panther: Wakanda Forever The Fabelmans Tár Alt: Pinocchio

Isn't this a shoo-in for Tar? BEST ORIGINAL SONG "Life Me Up" - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever "Ciao Papa" - Pinocchio "Naatu Naatu" - RRR "Hold My Hand" - Top Gun: Maverick "Carolina" - Where The Crawdads Sing Alt: "Stand Up" - Till

I know Hound Dog isn't an original song, but Doja Cat's remix is my favourite song of the year from films.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Marcel the Shell with Shoes On Pinocchio Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Turning Red Wendell and Wild Alt: Strange World

Turning Red is actually my favourite of the ones I've seen on this list, which just means it's better than Pinocchio. Heh. BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) Argentina, 1985 (Argentina) Bardo (Mexico) Decision to Leave (South Korea) The Quiet Girl (Ireland) Alt: Close (Belgium)

Shame I've seen none of these. :(

Read More...

 

Recently Seen (out of *****)

  • One night in Miami (King, 2020) ***
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  • Coming 2 America (Brewer, 2021) **1/2
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  • I care a lot (Blakeson, 2020) **

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