2016 Golden Globes Nominations: Predix and actuals!

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My guest, Griz (in purple), joins me for a last, last minute prediction. The usual. Actual nominations in red!

The snubbing of Spotlight actors!

PICTURE (DRAMA)
Beasts of No Nation x Mad Max: Fury Road
Bridge of Spies x Carol
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Alt. The Danish Girl

Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
Spotlight
The Revenant
Alt: The Hateful Eight


I'm rooting for the appearance of Mad Max, but I think the Globes' recent trend of snootiness means it's not going to go for the genre film. There are a number of options for this category, because the lemmings have not formed a clear line behind the few pictures just yet. I wouldn't be surprised if any other picture get in. About the only sure thing would be Spotlight? I pick Room because of TIFF's audience vote, and may the Canucks be forever in Awards' favour.

PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
The Big Short
Love & Mercy x Spy
Joy
The Martian
Trainwreck
Alt. Spy

The Big Short
Love & Mercy
Joy
The Martian
Trainwreck
Alt: Spy


The Martian is a comedy?

DIRECTOR
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant
Cary Fukunaga - Beasts of No Nation x Todd Haynes - Carol
Alt. Steven Spielberg - Bridge of Spies

Todd Haynes - Carol
Alejandro G. Inarritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Alt: Quentin Tarantino - The Hateful Eight


Go Georgie!

ACTOR (DRAMA)
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Leonardo Di Caprio - The Revenant
Johnny Depp - Black Mass x Will Smith - Concussion
Brian Cranston - Trumbo
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish girl

Alt. Tom Hanks - Bridge of Spies

Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Johnny Depp - Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Alt: Will Smith - Concussion


The Cranston is in by virtue of love for Breaking Bad, and this being the award body that covers TV as well.

ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Matt Damon - The Martian
Christian Bale -The Big Short
Steve Carrell - The Big Short
Robert DeNiro - The Intern x Mark Ruffalo - Infinitely Polar Bear
Bradley Cooper - Burnt x Al Pacino - Danny Collins
Alt. Paul Dano - Love & Mercy

Steve Carell - The Big Short
Bradley Cooper - Burnt
Matt Damon - The Martian
Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Robert De Niro - The Intern
Alt: Bill Hader - Trainwreck


The comedy actor category this year is some kind of weak sauce; that's why the Big Short should go long in this one. I think they should just get rid of comedy in general - why is this genre getting its own category, and not some other ones, like ACTION THRILLER? Because, Mad Max.

ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Rooney Mara - Carol
Emily Blunt - Sicario x Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt. Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt: Helen Mirren - Woman in Gold


Once again, wishing for something I'm not predicting: Charlize Theron for Mad Max. Let me have it, Globes!

ACTRESS (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Lily Tomlin - Grandma
Sandra Bullock - Our brand is crisis x Maggie Smith - The Lady in the Van
Alt. Meryl Streep -Ricki and the Flash

Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck
Meryl Streep - Ricki and the Flash
Lily Tomlin - Grandma
Alt: Maggie Smith - The Lady in the Van


SUPPORTING ACTOR
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Jacob Tremblay - Room x Michael Shannon - 99 Homes
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight x Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Michael Keaton - Spotlight x Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt. Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies

Christian Bale - The Big Short
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Michael Keaton - Spotlight
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight


Why do some actors in ensemble get to be nominated as lead actors, and some as supporting? Why ask why?

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Jane Fonda -Youth
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sil Maria x Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight x Helen Mirren - Trumbo

Alt. Helen Mirren - Trumbo

Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sils Maria
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Alt: Helen Mirren - Trumbo


SCREENPLAY
Spotlight
Anomalisa x The Hateful Eight
Room
Carol x The Big Short
Brooklyn x Steve Jobs
Alt. The Big Short

Carol
The Hateful Eight
Joy
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
Alt: The Martian


FOREIGN FILM FEATURE
Son of Saul
Phoenix x The Brand New Testament
Mustang
The Second Mother x The Club
Ixcanul x The Fencer
Alt. Dheepan x

Mustang (France)
Rams (Iceland)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Taxi (Iran)
The Wave (Norway)
Alt: Dheepan (France)


This category. Hahaha. I'm making guesses of films I haven't seen, and ignoring films I've actually seen. Like, the Wave. And Rams. And Jafar Panahi's Taxi. Rams is so funny and endearing; Taxi is searing (though the concept is done already, kinda, by Abbas Kiarostami some years ago). But I guess a Holocaust film is going to win, again.

ANIMATED FEATURE
Anomalisa
Inside Out
Minions x The Good Dinosaur
Shaun the Sheep Movie
The Peanuts Movie
Alt. The Good Dinosaur

Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie
Alt: Minions


SCORE
Mad Max x Carol
Spotlight x Steve Jobs
The Danish girl
Inside out x The Revenant
The Hateful Eight
Alt. Star Wars!

Carol
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Alt: Spotlight


SONG
Spectre
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 x Furious 7
Youth (!)
Fifty shades
Love & Mercy
Alt. The other non-Weeknd Fifty shades song

Concussion
Love & Mercy
Pitch Perfect 2
Spectre
Youth
Alt: The Hunting Grounds


My score: 45/70 w/o Alternates = 64%
50/70 with Alternates = 71%

Griz's score:
47/70 w/o Alternates = 67%
51/70 with Alternates = 73%

We're not great psychics, are we? D'oh! However, Griz won, with TWO WHOLE categories correctly predicted: Animated and Director!

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