2016 Golden Globes Nominations: Predix and actuals!

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My guest, Griz (in purple), joins me for a last, last minute prediction. The usual. Actual nominations in red!

The snubbing of Spotlight actors!

PICTURE (DRAMA)
Beasts of No Nation x Mad Max: Fury Road
Bridge of Spies x Carol
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Alt. The Danish Girl

Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
Spotlight
The Revenant
Alt: The Hateful Eight


I'm rooting for the appearance of Mad Max, but I think the Globes' recent trend of snootiness means it's not going to go for the genre film. There are a number of options for this category, because the lemmings have not formed a clear line behind the few pictures just yet. I wouldn't be surprised if any other picture get in. About the only sure thing would be Spotlight? I pick Room because of TIFF's audience vote, and may the Canucks be forever in Awards' favour.

PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
The Big Short
Love & Mercy x Spy
Joy
The Martian
Trainwreck
Alt. Spy

The Big Short
Love & Mercy
Joy
The Martian
Trainwreck
Alt: Spy


The Martian is a comedy?

DIRECTOR
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant
Cary Fukunaga - Beasts of No Nation x Todd Haynes - Carol
Alt. Steven Spielberg - Bridge of Spies

Todd Haynes - Carol
Alejandro G. Inarritu - The Revenant
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Alt: Quentin Tarantino - The Hateful Eight


Go Georgie!

ACTOR (DRAMA)
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Leonardo Di Caprio - The Revenant
Johnny Depp - Black Mass x Will Smith - Concussion
Brian Cranston - Trumbo
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish girl

Alt. Tom Hanks - Bridge of Spies

Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Johnny Depp - Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Alt: Will Smith - Concussion


The Cranston is in by virtue of love for Breaking Bad, and this being the award body that covers TV as well.

ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL)
Matt Damon - The Martian
Christian Bale -The Big Short
Steve Carrell - The Big Short
Robert DeNiro - The Intern x Mark Ruffalo - Infinitely Polar Bear
Bradley Cooper - Burnt x Al Pacino - Danny Collins
Alt. Paul Dano - Love & Mercy

Steve Carell - The Big Short
Bradley Cooper - Burnt
Matt Damon - The Martian
Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Robert De Niro - The Intern
Alt: Bill Hader - Trainwreck


The comedy actor category this year is some kind of weak sauce; that's why the Big Short should go long in this one. I think they should just get rid of comedy in general - why is this genre getting its own category, and not some other ones, like ACTION THRILLER? Because, Mad Max.

ACTRESS (DRAMA)
Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Rooney Mara - Carol
Emily Blunt - Sicario x Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt. Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Brie Larson - Room
Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt: Helen Mirren - Woman in Gold


Once again, wishing for something I'm not predicting: Charlize Theron for Mad Max. Let me have it, Globes!

ACTRESS (COMEDY / MUSICAL)
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Lily Tomlin - Grandma
Sandra Bullock - Our brand is crisis x Maggie Smith - The Lady in the Van
Alt. Meryl Streep -Ricki and the Flash

Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Melissa McCarthy - Spy
Amy Schumer - Trainwreck
Meryl Streep - Ricki and the Flash
Lily Tomlin - Grandma
Alt: Maggie Smith - The Lady in the Van


SUPPORTING ACTOR
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Jacob Tremblay - Room x Michael Shannon - 99 Homes
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight x Paul Dano - Love & Mercy
Michael Keaton - Spotlight x Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt. Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies

Christian Bale - The Big Short
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Michael Keaton - Spotlight
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight


Why do some actors in ensemble get to be nominated as lead actors, and some as supporting? Why ask why?

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Jane Fonda -Youth
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sil Maria x Alicia Vikander - Ex-Machina
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight x Helen Mirren - Trumbo

Alt. Helen Mirren - Trumbo

Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sils Maria
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Alt: Helen Mirren - Trumbo


SCREENPLAY
Spotlight
Anomalisa x The Hateful Eight
Room
Carol x The Big Short
Brooklyn x Steve Jobs
Alt. The Big Short

Carol
The Hateful Eight
Joy
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
Alt: The Martian


FOREIGN FILM FEATURE
Son of Saul
Phoenix x The Brand New Testament
Mustang
The Second Mother x The Club
Ixcanul x The Fencer
Alt. Dheepan x

Mustang (France)
Rams (Iceland)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Taxi (Iran)
The Wave (Norway)
Alt: Dheepan (France)


This category. Hahaha. I'm making guesses of films I haven't seen, and ignoring films I've actually seen. Like, the Wave. And Rams. And Jafar Panahi's Taxi. Rams is so funny and endearing; Taxi is searing (though the concept is done already, kinda, by Abbas Kiarostami some years ago). But I guess a Holocaust film is going to win, again.

ANIMATED FEATURE
Anomalisa
Inside Out
Minions x The Good Dinosaur
Shaun the Sheep Movie
The Peanuts Movie
Alt. The Good Dinosaur

Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie
Alt: Minions


SCORE
Mad Max x Carol
Spotlight x Steve Jobs
The Danish girl
Inside out x The Revenant
The Hateful Eight
Alt. Star Wars!

Carol
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Alt: Spotlight


SONG
Spectre
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 x Furious 7
Youth (!)
Fifty shades
Love & Mercy
Alt. The other non-Weeknd Fifty shades song

Concussion
Love & Mercy
Pitch Perfect 2
Spectre
Youth
Alt: The Hunting Grounds


My score: 45/70 w/o Alternates = 64%
50/70 with Alternates = 71%

Griz's score:
47/70 w/o Alternates = 67%
51/70 with Alternates = 73%

We're not great psychics, are we? D'oh! However, Griz won, with TWO WHOLE categories correctly predicted: Animated and Director!



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2 Response to 2016 Golden Globes Nominations: Predix and actuals!

Grizzly
December 10, 2015 at 9:38 AM

Infinitely Polar Bear?!

I've actually heard of the film, but I imagine A LOT of people are going to be confused about that one. The same goes for the copious amounts of category confusion and/or fraud. I don't think I've ever seen a line-up where so many performances could have been in either lead or supporting categories.

Anyway, I got 47 plus 4 alts, and you got 45 plus 5 alts (not 6! I think you miscalculated the song alt, since it was Furious 7 that got in, not another Fifty Shades song). Yay, go me!

What a weird line-up though. Shoe-ins missing out, lots of odd-ball choices from stuff that barely made a blip when they came out (Trumbo came and went without much of any reaction, yet here it is).

It is fun what an open year it is though. For now, anyway.

December 10, 2015 at 10:54 PM

I stand corrected. :p

I have so many films to see. This lack of first hand experience with these films must be why I fared so badly. Maybe they'd make more sense once I see them? Like the foreign film category: I knew the ones I had seen and left out would not be nominated - just not that kind of "awards film." The Big Short and Spotlight just confuse the hell out of people with the ensemble roles, but somehow Short came out Tall. <-- :D

 

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