May this be the last time they're trying the 10 best pic nominations experiment. If TV-movie-of-the-week The Blind Side can be included as one of the year's best pictures, you know it's gone to the crap shooter. Not to diss TV production or anything (LOST for the win!), best picture should be a short-list field, not an all inclusive one. It's a race, gosh darn it, not a feel-good circle jerk! Well, okay, not
just a feel-good circle jerk. It's not all that honourable if every movie not completely hated by the critics is considered 'best of the year.' Can we have some standards here, people?
Anyway, predictions galore! (Mine /
Special guest, Griz's)
Best Picture
Avatar / The Hurt Locker
Alternates: The Hurt Locker / Avatar
Best Actor:
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart / Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Alternate: George Clooney, Up in the Air / Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side / Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Alternate: Helen Mirren, The Last Station / Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
Supporting Actor:
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds / Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Alternate: Christopher Plummer, The Last Station / Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Supporting Actress:
Mo’Nique, Precious / Mo'Nique, Precious
Alternate: Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart / Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Best Director:
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker / Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Alternate: James Cameron, Avatar / James Cameron, Avatar
Original Screenplay:
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds / Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Alternate: Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker / Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Adapted Screenplay:
Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air / Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
Alternate: Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious / Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Editing:
The Hurt Locker / The Hurt Locker
Alternate: Inglourious Basterds / Avatar
Cinematography:
Avatar / The Hurt Locker
Alternate: The White Ribbon / Avatar
Art Direction:
Avatar / Avatar
Alternate: Imaginarium / Sherlock Holmes
Costumes:
The Young Victoria / The Young Victoria
Alternate: Coco Avant Chanel / Nine
Sound:
The Hurt Locker / Avatar
Alternate: Avatar / The Hurt Locker
Sound Editing:
The Hurt Locker / Avatar
Alternate: Avatar / Star Trek
Score:
Up / Up
Alternate: Fantastic Mr. Fox / Avatar
Foreign Language Film:
A Prophet / The Secret in their Eyes
Alternate: The White Ribbon / A prophet
Doc Feature:
The Cove / The Cove
Alternate: Food, Inc. / Which way home
Animated Feature:
Up / Up
Alternate: The Fantastic Mr. Fox / The Fantastic Mr. Fox
Visual Effects:
Avatar / Avatar
Alternate: District 9 / District 9
Makeup:
Star Trek / Star Trek
Alternate: The Young Victoria / The Young Victoria
Best Song:
The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart / The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart
Alternate: Take it all, Nine / Almost There, The Princess and the Frog
Although every precursor award points to The Hurt Locker, it seems too small against the record-breaking Avatar to win best picture. If either Avatar or The Hurt Locker wins best picture tomorrow, and the rest of the field looks like what I predicted here, it'd be an empty sort of best picture win - a best picture that either looks good or sounds good, but without award-winning substance (comparable to other pictures). At least, that's what the Academy is telling us with their awards should things go as predicted. And that is, if you care. Which, you really do.
Read More...
Summary only...