Oscars 2010 Predictions: painting Hollywood blue?

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May this be the last time they're trying the 10 best pic nominations experiment. If TV-movie-of-the-week The Blind Side can be included as one of the year's best pictures, you know it's gone to the crap shooter. Not to diss TV production or anything (LOST for the win!), best picture should be a short-list field, not an all inclusive one. It's a race, gosh darn it, not a feel-good circle jerk! Well, okay, not just a feel-good circle jerk. It's not all that honourable if every movie not completely hated by the critics is considered 'best of the year.' Can we have some standards here, people?

Anyway, predictions galore! (Mine / Special guest, Griz's)

Best Picture
Avatar / The Hurt Locker
Alternates: The Hurt Locker / Avatar

Best Actor:
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart / Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Alternate: George Clooney, Up in the Air / Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side / Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Alternate: Helen Mirren, The Last Station / Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia

Supporting Actor:
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds / Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Alternate: Christopher Plummer, The Last Station / Woody Harrelson, The Messenger

Supporting Actress:
Mo’Nique, Precious / Mo'Nique, Precious
Alternate: Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart / Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air

Best Director:
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker / Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Alternate: James Cameron, Avatar / James Cameron, Avatar

Original Screenplay:
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds / Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Alternate: Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker / Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Adapted Screenplay:
Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air / Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
Alternate: Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious / Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious

The Hurt Locker / The Hurt Locker
Alternate: Inglourious Basterds / Avatar

Avatar / The Hurt Locker
Alternate: The White Ribbon / Avatar

Art Direction:
Avatar / Avatar
Alternate: Imaginarium / Sherlock Holmes

The Young Victoria / The Young Victoria
Alternate: Coco Avant Chanel / Nine

The Hurt Locker / Avatar
Alternate: Avatar / The Hurt Locker

Sound Editing:
The Hurt Locker / Avatar
Alternate: Avatar / Star Trek

Up / Up
Alternate: Fantastic Mr. Fox / Avatar

Foreign Language Film:
A Prophet / The Secret in their Eyes
Alternate: The White Ribbon / A prophet

Doc Feature:
The Cove / The Cove
Alternate: Food, Inc. / Which way home

Animated Feature:
Up / Up
Alternate: The Fantastic Mr. Fox / The Fantastic Mr. Fox

Visual Effects:
Avatar / Avatar
Alternate: District 9 / District 9

Star Trek / Star Trek
Alternate: The Young Victoria / The Young Victoria

Best Song:
The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart / The Weary Kind, Crazy Heart
Alternate: Take it all, Nine / Almost There, The Princess and the Frog

Although every precursor award points to The Hurt Locker, it seems too small against the record-breaking Avatar to win best picture. If either Avatar or The Hurt Locker wins best picture tomorrow, and the rest of the field looks like what I predicted here, it'd be an empty sort of best picture win - a best picture that either looks good or sounds good, but without award-winning substance (comparable to other pictures). At least, that's what the Academy is telling us with their awards should things go as predicted. And that is, if you care. Which, you really do.

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6 Response to Oscars 2010 Predictions: painting Hollywood blue?

March 7, 2010 at 7:03 AM

Ooh, we split on BP! It's a race! I like it. If you're right, we can declare your prediction to be "OUT OF THIS WORLD!", and if I do mine could be "THE BOMB!" :P

Interesting that the categories where we split picks are the only ones that have been generally considered hard to predict. Original Screenplay was impossible (I'm actually rooting for Tarantino). It sure is looking to be a lot of expected winners.

March 7, 2010 at 6:14 PM

Haha Badabing!

Speaking of rooting for Tarantino, I should add my horse!

The red carpet show is on! *excited*

March 8, 2010 at 12:10 AM

I'm off to bed, but here's how we did.. *drumroll*

You correctly predicted 17, plus 3 alternates!

I correctly predicted 17, plus 3 alternates!


You beat me in Cinematography, Sound and Sound Editing. I beat you in Picture and Foreign-Language Film.

And now... ZZZzzzzzzzz........

March 8, 2010 at 12:59 AM

And I thought I was winning! In my head I ALWAYS win! Hmph.

March 8, 2010 at 7:10 AM

Haha, you're so competitive!

I for one am happy with a tie. It means we're equally awesome. :) *hugs*

March 8, 2010 at 10:52 AM



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