Oscars 2024: Year of upsets, maybe? And winners!

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I'm banking on some upsets this year, given how wide open some of the categories are. That'd be good! A little excitement for a dying show that outside of people like me and Griz (in purple), noone cares because WHO GOES TO THE MOVIES?? Winners in red.

BEST PICTURE
Oppenheimer
Alt: The Zone of Interest
 
Oppenheimer
Alt: Anatomy of a Fall 
 
Years from now, without the context of running with Barbie to make him popular that one summer, noone's gonna understand how Oppenheimer went on a tear and won everything.
 
DIRECTOR
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Alt: Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest 
 
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer 
Alt: Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things 
 
ACTRESS 
Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon 
Alt: Emma Stone - Poor Things 
 
Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon 
Alt: Emma Stone - Poor Things
 
Is it an upset if we're all predicting it? 
 
ACTOR 
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 
Alt: Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
 
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 
Alt: Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 
 
Having seen The Holdovers, I can't believe it is a favourite for an upset in this category. Or any category outside of supporting actress. I guess I still don't like Alexander Payne's work?
 
SUPPORTING ACTRESS 
Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers 
Alt: American Ferrera - Barbie
 
Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers 
Alt: Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple 
 
SUPPORTING ACTOR 
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer 
Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things
 
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer 
Alt: Ryan Gosling - Barbie
 
Charles Melton wuz ROBBED.
 
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 
Anatomy of a Fall
Alt: The Holdovers
 
The Holdovers 
Alt: Anatomy of a Fall
 
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 
Poor Things
Alt: The Zone of Interest
 
American Fiction 
Alt: Oppenheimer 

It's not going to be Oppenheimer - not its strength. I was going to say Zone of Interest, because it looks serious, but this is Poor Things' best chance outside of Actress and Production. This is a very stacked category though, and anyone could walk away with it, including Barbie (to make up for the lack of a director nom for Greta?).
 
EDITING 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Anatomy of a Fall 
 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Anatomy of a Fall
 
CINEMATOGRAPHY 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Killers of The Flower Moon
 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Poor Things
 
PRODUCTION DESIGN 
Poor Things 
Alt: Barbie 
 
Poor Things 
Alt: Barbie
 
COSTUME DESIGN 
Barbie 
Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon
 
Barbie 
Alt: Poor Things
 
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING 
Maestro 
Alt: Poor Things 
 
Maestro 
Alt: Poor Things
 
It's the darn nose.
 
SOUND 
The Zone of Interest
Alt: Oppenheimer
 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: The Zone of Interest
 
VISUAL EFFECTS 
The Creator 
Alt: Godzilla Minus One 
 
The Creator 
Alt: Godzilla Minus One 

Gozilla probably had better effects, but The Creator is more of an Oscars-flavour movie. You never know though, it could upset!
 
ORIGINAL SCORE 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon 
 
Oppenheimer 
Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon
 
ORIGINAL SONG 
"What Was I Made For?" - Barbie 
Alt: "I'm Just Ken" - Barbie 
 
"What Was I Made For?" - Barbie 
Alt: "I'm Just Ken" - Barbie
 
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM 
The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) 
Alt: Society of the Snow (Spain) 
 
The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) 
Alt: Society of the Snow (Spain)
 
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM 
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
Alt: The Boy and the Heron 
 
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 
Alt: The Boy and the Heron
 
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE 
20 Days in Mariupol 
Alt: To Kill A Tiger
 
20 Days in Mariupol 
Alt: Bobi Wine: The People's President


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Oscars Nominations 2024: Barbieheimer Once More

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Here comes the annual Oscars post to sustain this blog... for unknown reasons.

My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

 

PICTURE

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Poor Things
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
The Zone of Interest
Alt. The Color Purple

 

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

 

That's a bingo!

 

DIRECTOR

Greta Gerwig – Barbie x Justine Triet - Anatomy of a Fall

Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things

Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Alexander Payne – The Holdovers

Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon

Alt. Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest *

 

Greta Gerwig - Barbie  
Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest

Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things
Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese - Killers of the Flower Moon

Alt: Alexander Payne - The Holdovers

 

Wow, Greta missed. How? Maybe Barbie does not have as much support from the Academy as we thought, judging on the other missed categories for Barbie. Well, except the weird America Ferrera nom.

And Payne missed too. The DGA led me down!

 

ACTRESS

Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall

Margot Robbie – Barbie x !!!

Emma Stone – Poor things

Alt. Annette Benning - NYAD*

 

Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Huller - Anatomy of a Fall

Carey Mulligan - Maestro
Margot Robbie - Barbie
Emma Stone - Poor Things
Alt:
Greta Lee - Past Lives

 

The two driving forces (Margo and Greta) behind the biggest movie of the year missed their 'surefire' nominations. Wow. What does this all mean???

 

ACTOR

Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Colman Domingo - Rustin

Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Alt. Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
 

Bradley Cooper - Maestro
Colman Domingo - Rustin

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

Alt: Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon

 

The two horses race is on!

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple

Penelope Cruz – Ferrari x I blame the SAG

Jodie Foster – NYAD

Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Alt. Sandra Huller - The Zone of Interest*

Emily Blunt - Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple

Penelope Cruz - Ferrari 
Jodie Foster - Nyad
Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers

Alt: Rosamund Pike - Saltburn

SUPPORTING ACTOR
 
Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction

Willem Dafoe – Poor things x Mark Ruffalo

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling - Barbie

Alt. Charles Melton – May December

I actually saw May December, and Charles was great in it! <-- Shame he didn't get nominated. It's a better performance than Gosling in Barbie (the only other performance I have seen in this category). OH WELL.

 

Robert De Niro - Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer 

Ryan Gosling - Barbie
Charles Melton - May December 

Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things

Alt: Sterling K. Brown - American Fiction

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Anatomy of a Fall

The Holdovers

May December

Past Lives

Maestro

Alt. Saltburn

Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers

Maestro
May December
Past Lives

Alt: Saltburn

 

The internet was correct for this one.


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
 

American Fiction

Killers of the Flower Moon x

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Barbie

Alt. The Zone of Interest*

 

American Fiction
Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Alt: Barbie

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

The Boy and the Heron

Elemental

Nimona

Robot Dreams

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-verse

Alt. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle: Mutant Mayhem

 

I can't believe I got all of these.

 
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

20 Days in Mariupol x Io Capitano

Fallen Leaves x Perfect Days

Society of the Snow

The Taste of Things

The Zone of Interest

Alt. The Teacher's Lounge

 

Read More...

 

Recently Seen (out of *****)

  • One night in Miami (King, 2020) ***
  • Mank (Fincher, 2020) ***1/2
  • Coming 2 America (Brewer, 2021) **1/2
  • Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (Wolfe, 2020) ***1/2
  • I care a lot (Blakeson, 2020) **

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