Oscars winners 2022 predix (and winners): Is it a dog's world?

Placehoder for further commentary, and more last minute change ... But first, the predix, with my friend Griz's in purple. Winners in red.

 

Prior to the show comments: you know what, I'm all about the worm of the desert, but that's not what the Oscar's gonna be about, so we're gonna settle in for whatever wins the least amount of outrage. 

 

Show comments: 

- Wow I'm so glad Dune wins all the technical stuff, but it also means they're not going up that stage often. What a shame! But could this also mean not that much for Dog?

- Ariana DeBose's red jumpsuit is glorious!

- Oscars is about Dune, after all, even if it's just in the technical categories!

- Best presenter/winner speech combo: Yuh-Jung Youn/Troy Kotsur - she even attempted to sign his name!

- Academy's so rude to Drive My Car's director, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, playing him off after like 10 seconds up there. This was a major category!

- Wow it's not that much of a dog's world after all!

- Who are putting together the fan favourite list? What crap-ola is this?

- WTF HAPPENED. WILL SMITH. SLAPPING. CHRIS ROCK. ON STAGE. JAWS DROPPED. 

- You tried, Puff Daddy. You tried. Can the rest of the show recover?

- The show is zippy but, man, it's not doing a good job of highlighting the film nominees.

- Oh Billie, thanks for bringing the show back!

- Jane Campion to Kevin Costner "that was very dramatic" after he tried his darndest to imitate Obama's way of breaking a sentence into ten. I mean, it was pretty sincere and he tried, but yes, that was. 

- This Will Smith moment. What did they just censor on my TV when switching to the Williams' sisters? "At your peak, the devil comes for you." Oh, you're so wise, Danzel (or so Will Smith said Danzel said).

-WOW. What a night of a shocker. CODA unseated front runner The Power of the Dog. I guess it's time for the Power of the Nap! To the dog house!

Winners: Dune, CODA, Oscar's relevance

Not winners: Craftspeople that make the movies (thanks to pre-taped, edited down version of their wins), The power of the dog went from front runner to losing everything except Director, Chris Rock (no matter the fall out, the Will Smith moment was not great for him), nominated couples

PICTURE

The power of the dog

Alt. Drive my car

The power of the dog

Alt. CODA <<-- SHOCKER wow

 

DIRECTOR

Jane Campion

Alt. Ryusuke Hamaguchi

Jane Campion

Alt. Kenneth Branagh

 

ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain

Alt. Penelope Cruz

Jessica Chastain

Alt. Kristen Stewart

 

ACTOR

Will Smith

Alt. Benedict Cumberbatch

Will Smith

Alt. Andrew Garfield

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Ariana DeBose

Alt. Kirsten Dunst <<- She deserves this but she's not going to get it

Griz: Ariana DeBose

Alt. Kirsten Dunst

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Troy Kotsur

Alt. Kodi Smit-McPhee

Troy Kotsur

Alt. Kodi Smit-McPhee

 

EDITING

The power of the dog

Alt. Dune YAY!!!

Dune

Alt. King Richard

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

The tragedy of McBeth <<- Black and White!

Alt. The power of the dog

Dune!! <<-- over a black and white pic!

Alt. West Side story

 

PRODUCTION

Dune

Alt. West Side story

Dune

Alt. West Side story

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Belfast

Alt. King Richard

Licorice Pizza

Alt. The worse person in the world

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The power of the dog

Alt. CODA

CODA

Alt. The power of the dog

 

ANIMATED FEATURE

Encanto

Alt. Raya and the last dragon

Encanto

Alt. The Mitchells vs. the Machines

 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

Drive my car

Alt. Flee

Drive my car

Alt. Flee

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Flee

Alt. Summer of soul

Summer of soul

Alt. Flee

 

SOUND

Dune

Alt. West Side story

Dune

Alt. West Side story

 

COSTUME

Cruella

Alt. West Side story

Cruella

Alt. West Side story

 

HAIR AND MAKE UP

The eyes of Tammy Faye

Alt. Cruella

The eyes of Tammy Faye

Alt. Cruella

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune

Alt. Spider-Man

Dune

Alt. Spider-Man

 

SONG

No time to die

Alt. Dos oruguitas

Dos oruguitas

Alt. No time to die

 

SCORE

The power of the dog

Alt. Dune YES!!!

Dune

Alt. The power of the dog

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Summary only...

Oscars 2022 Predix: What's playing on Netflix again?

Dune for everything! My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

A disclaimer: I have not seen most of the films, and basically this prediction set is based on nothing. As such, it will only be the major categories I'm predicting. The format is a mess, but I gotta sleep.

PICTURE

Belfast
CODA
Don't look up
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
tick, tick…BOOM!
West Side Story

Alt. Being the Ricardos

Don't look up was bad, I don't really wanna put it into my predictions, but we can't do wants all the time, can we.

Belfast
CODA
Don't Look Up
Drive My Car
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog
Tick, Tick... Boom!
West Side Story

DIRECTOR

Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
Kenneth Branagh - Belfast
Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog
Steven Spielberg - West Side Story
Denis Villeneuve - Dune

Alt. Ryusuke Hamaguchi - Drive My Car

Listen, where the heck is this Drive My Car being streamed on?

Paul Thomas Anderson - Licorice Pizza
Kenneth Branagh - Belfast
Jane Campion - The Power of the Dog
Ryusuke Hamaguchi - Drive My Car
Denis Villeneuve - Dune

Alt: Steven Spielberg - West Side Story

ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter
Lady Gaga - House of Gucci
Jennifer Hudson - Respect
Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos

Alt. Kristen Stewart - Spencer

Seen nuthin' of this batch, reputation alone.

Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter
Lady Gaga - House of Gucci
Nicole Kidman - Being the Ricardos
Penelope Cruz - Parallel Mothers

Alt: Kristen Stewart - Spencer

ACTOR

Javier Bardem - Being the Ricardos
Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield - Tick, Tick... Boom!
Will Smith - King Richard
Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth


Alt. Leonardo DiCaprio – Don't look up

DiCaprio was good but it was one of his minor performances


Benedict Cumberbatch - The Power of the Dog
Leonardo DiCaprio - Don't Look Up
Andrew Garfield - Tick, Tick... Boom!
Will Smith - King Richard
Denzel Washington - The Tragedy of Macbeth

Alt: Javier Bardem - Being the Ricardos

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
Cate Blanchett - Nightmare Alley
Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst - The Power of the Dog
Ruth Negga - Passing

Alt. Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard

Who knows? I am speeding throught this to sleep.

Caitriona Balfe - Belfast
Ariana DeBose - West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst - The Power of the Dog
Aunjanue Ellis - King Richard
Marlee Matlin - CODA

Alt: Jessie Buckley - The Lost Daughter

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Bradley Cooper - Licorice Pizza
Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
Troy Kotsur - CODA
Jared Leto - House of Gucci
Kodi Smit-McPhee - The Power of the Dog

Alt. Ben Affleck – The tender bar

I have a hard time believing Ben will get a nom, but he got a SAG nom so I'm putting him in Alt.

Bradley Cooper - Licorice Pizza Ciaran Hinds - Belfast
Troy Kotsur - CODA
Jared Leto - House of Gucci
Kodi Smit-McPhee - The Power of the Dog

Alt: Jesse Plemons - The Power of the Dog

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don't Look Up
Licorice Pizza
The French Dispatch of the Liberty, Kansas Evening Sun

Alt. King Richard

Not Don't Look Up.

Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don't Look Up
Licorice Pizza
Parallel Mothers

Alt: King Richard

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

CODA
Drive My Car
Dune
The Lost Daughter
The Power of the Dog

Alt. Nightmare Alley

Crapshoot, but please let Dune in.

CODA
Drive My Car
Dune
The Lost Daughter
The Power of the Dog

Alt: West Side Story

That's all I've got, because I gotta get up in, oh, less than 5 hours. But wait, Griz's got more!

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Belfast
Dune
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth

Alt: West Side Story


BEST FILM EDITING

Belfast
Don't Look Up
Dune
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog

Alt: King Richard


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Dune
The French Dispatch
Nightmare Alley
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story

Alt: Licorice Pizza


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Cruella
Dune
House of Gucci
Nightmare Alley
West Side Story

Alt: Cyrano


BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Cruella
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
House of Gucci
Nightmare Alley
West Side Story

Alt: Dune


BEST SOUND

A Quiet Place Part II
Dune
No Time To Die
Spider-Man: No Way Home
West Side Story

Alt: Belfast


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune
Ghostbusters: Afterlife
Godzilla vs. Kong
The Matrix: Resurrections
Spider-Man: No Way Home

Alt: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Belfast - "Down To Joy"
Don't Look Up - "Just Look Up"
Encanto - "Dos Oruguitas"
King Richard - "Be Alive"
No Time To Die - "No Time To Die"

Alt: Respect - "Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)"


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

I care most about Dune's nomination here

Don't Look Up
Dune
Encanto
The French Dispatch
The Power of the Dog

Alt: Parallel Mothers


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Encanto
Flee
Luca
The Mitchells vs the Machines
Raya and the Last Dragon

Alt: Belle


BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

A Hero (Iran)
Drive My Car (Japan)
Flee (Denmark)
The Hand of God (Italy)
The Worst Person in the World (Norway)

Alt: Compartment No. 6 (Finland)


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM

Attica
Flee
Procession
The Rescue
Summer of Soul

Alt: Ascension

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Summary only...

Oscars 2021 winner predictions (and actuals): Bottom's up!

Here we go! I'm not sure if I'll actually get to watch this. In any case, I'm expecting a big night for Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. My friend, Griz, predicts in purple. Red is for actual winners.

The show: I feel like I did goood this year. The ones I didn't get were pretty much shockers? You know what was the big loser of this year? More than the producers' intentional set up for an absent best actor winner (haha 'absence' turned out to be in the literal sense and not the mortal sense)? The snoozefest broadcast itself. Wow was it ever boring. Exterior set was great; interior set was nope. And yes, I wish the band was around to play off the endless Oscar speeches. Holy mother of pearl it went ON AND ON. The only saving grace was in Yuh-Jung Youn's amazingly candid and hilarious speech. And the unexpected tear jerker twist for Thomas Vinterberg's daughter. What the hell? Let's hope we don't have to go through that kind of broadcast again. I hated that best picture did not go last. Made no sense at all. Fire them all!

PICTURE

Nomadland
Alt. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom <<-- this is hilarious, because it wasn't even nominated!

Could there be an upset? Probably not. But if there was, I'd have said the Trial stands the best chance based on nominations. However, after looking over the possibilities of wins, I'd say Ma Rainey runs a very good 2nd race (IT WASN'T NOMINATED; leaving this in for posterity). Obviously Griz disagrees. WE'LL SEE. In any other year, at any other time, Mank would be the better bet as an alternative to Nomadland. But we're in a different time now, and I'd imagine the Academy would reflect that.

Nomadland
Alt: Minari

DIRECTOR

Chloé Zhao - Nomadland
Alt. David Fincher - Mank

It's Zhao's to lose. And they're not going to miss a chance at making history in this climate.

Chloé Zhao - Nomadland
Alt: David Fincher - Mank

ACTRESS
Viola Davis - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt. Carey Mulligan - Promising Young Woman

I would've put Frances here if it wasn't for the fact that she won not so long ago. <<- Wow this was a genuine surprise, and probably breaking some rules. Frances has more best actress Oscars than Meryl!

Viola Davis - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt: Carey Mulligan - Promising Young Woman

ACTOR

Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt. Anthony Hopkins - The father HAHHAHAHAHAHHA THIS BLEW UP IN OSCARS' PRODUCERS' FACE

Sir Anthony Hopkins is just consistently amazing, in general, and typically that can be taken for granted. So when the ink is hot for his performance, it means he's really good in it. I haven't seen it, but I bet it's showy, and just what the Oscars would want. However, given Boseman's death, this would be a good chance to reward a promising career cut short. Is Boseman good in it? Yeah. He did not knock my socks off, but he's been consistently good in all his performances. So it's not going to be a travesty or anything if he wins. Oscars rewards 'good' more often than 'great.'

Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt: Riz Ahmed - Sound of Metal

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Yuh-Jung Youn - Minari
Alt. Olivia Coleman - The father

For the one-two The Father punch, Coleman could sneak in if Yuh-Jung Youn doesn't gather enough support. But again, will the Academy miss out on a historic year for another historic win? I doubt it.

Yuh-Jung Youn - Minari
Alt: Glenn Close - Hillbilly Elegy

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Daniel Kaluuya - Judas and the Black Messiah
Alt. Paul Raci - Sound of Metal

The Academy loves the type of performance that Raci seems to have delivered, so without the force that is Kaluuya, this would've been a tight contest. However, Kaluuya is a great presence and he was robbed for Get out and this was supposed to be a showy performance for co-lead so he wins?

Daniel Kaluuya - Judas and the Black Messiah
Alt: Sacha Baron Cohen - The Trial of the Chicago 7

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Promising Young Woman
Alt. The trial of the Chicago 7

Consolation prize here for Promising Young Woman, with Aaron Sorkin hot on that tail. I am not that impressed with Chicago 7 so I am biased here. I don't really understand the love for that one, honestly. Is there a love for it? The internet is unreliable here. I'm just also confused why Mank didn't get a nomination so I can't think straight for this category.

Promising Young Woman
Alt: The Trial of the Chicago 7

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The father
Alt. Nomadland

I'm betting on a split here, based on nothing but a feeling from the trailers. Because, WHO'S ACTUALLY SEEN THEM?? Anyway, The Father seems super talky?

Nomadland
Alt: The Father

EDITING

Sound of Metal
Alt. Nomadland

They may spread the love. I guess this would depend on how loved Nomadland is. Normally I would say Nomadland, if it's going to win best picture, it should stake Editing, but Sound of Metal just seems very edit-y. Again, having seen none of them, other than Chicago 7, it's kind of hard to predict.

Sound of Metal
Alt: The Trial of the Chicago 7

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Nomadland
Alt. Mank

I dunno. Mank is in black and white, and Griz may be right here. But if Nomadland is not going to take Editing, it should take Cinematography. <<-- Oscars makes no sense to give no technical win to the eventual best picture winner. It's not my fault Oscars be crazy.

Mank
Alt: Nomadland

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Mank
Alt. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mank should take this easily. Second runner up would be Ma Rainey's even though I do think Tenet is better. But it doesn't seem to have that much love from the Academy so Ma Rainey would be the next choice.

Mank
Alt: Tenet

COSTUME DESIGN

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt. Emma

What's it gonna be? A whole set of showy costume, or one-person-centric costume to win the day? It'd be weird if Mank gets in here, because then that'd be basically for Amanda Seigfried's dresses.

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt: Mank

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt. Mank

I'm only putting Mank down for Amanda's hair. But Ma Rainey is soaked in sweat, so there's that.

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Alt: Mank

SOUND

Sound of Metal
Alt. Soul

It would be so odd to have something else win this category. Though, Greyhound does make sense I suppose.

Sound of Metal
Alt: Soul

VISUAL EFFECTS

Tenet
Alt. The Midnight Sky

I mean, if Tenet does not win this, that's just active hate then.

Tenet
Alt: The Midnight Sky

ORIGINAL SCORE

Soul
Alt. Mank

Yeah, this should be the animated winner's other consolation prize.

Soul
Alt: Minari

ORIGINAL SONG

One night in Miami x Judas WTF noone is going to remember this win
Alt. The trial of Chicago 7

I'm torn. Leslie Odom Jr. was nominated so they probably will give him this. But Hear My Voice is a better song? Plus, would the Chicago 7 walk away empty handed? I've changed my mind like 20x on this. I'm going with Miami but this is not sure at all. <<<- Andra Day completely obliterated the nominees/winners in this category with her diss on the best songs don't get nominated. Someone might have regretted asking her questions!

One Night in Miami
Alt: The Life Ahead

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Soul
Alt. Wolfwalkers

Yup.

Soul
Alt: Wolfwalkers

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Collective
Alt. My Octopus Teacher

There's always a surprise or two at the Oscars, and I just don't think Teacher is weighty enough to win this one. Sometimes it's not the most popular film that wins in this category. Also, Teacher is just ... tedious? <<--- I was wrong, but this was lame.

My Octopus Teacher
Alt: Collective

INTERNATIONAL FILM

Another round
Alt. Collective

They must have really liked Collective to nominate it twice. Just sayin'. Or it could split the vote and go home empty handed. Who knows?

Another Round (Denmark)
Alt: Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)

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Summary only...

Oscars 2021 nomination predix: the show must go on, but, why?

I'm doing this just so I can keep up with the tradition. It's a bit of an imaginary duty call. Or a fear of loss. One of those things.

I did not watch the Globes this year because frankly, this whole thing is a bit ridiculous. The theatres suffered so much last year (and they still not have opened in most of Canada), and nobody has seen anything not on Disney+ or whatever other streamers have. Why have a show? Who'd care? Why not combine for next year? I'm sure it's all well debated to death, so I won't bother to harp anymore on this, other than I don't like it. But I'm here so we'll get on with it. Plus, sight unseen, the trailers for these films make them look like they are a decent bunch. My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

A disclaimer: I have not seen most of the films, and basically this prediction set is based on trailers. As such, it will only be the major categories we're predicting.

PICTURE
The father
Judas and the black messiah
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
One night in Miami ...
Promising Young Woman
Sound of metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Alt. Da 5 Bloods

I went to see Tenet in theatre. I think it's a shame that it's not mentioned more in the awards circuit. If nothing else, it was a very touching / desperate attempt at helping out the theatres. I suppose you don't just give awards for that, but I think it's still a good film on its own.

Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Minari
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Promising Young Woman
Soul
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

DIRECTOR
Lee Isaac Chung - Minari
Emerald Fennell - Promising Young Woman
David Fincher - Mank
Aaron Sorkin - The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloe Zhao - Nomadland

Alt. Shaka King - Judas and the Black Messiah

The Academy has an opportunity here to make everyone happy with a diverse selection of nominees. I'm kind of tickled that there are strong women director candidates, and wow, two of Asian descent for two Americana films! This category is kind of historic?

Lee Isaac Chung - Minari
Emerald Fennell - Promising Young Woman
David Fincher - Mank
Aaron Sorkin - The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloé Zhao - Nomadland

Alt: Shaka King - Judas and the Black Messiah

ACTRESS
Amy Adams - Hillbilly Elegy
Viola Davis - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Vanessa Kirby - Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand - Nomadland
Carey Mulligan - Promising Young Woman

Alt. Andra Day - The United States vs. Billie Holiday

What do I know about these performances, other than Viola Davis' shoo-in? I ain't arguing with SAG. I put Andra Day as an alternate simply because Billie Holiday is a huge figure. However, there maybe an off chance that Zendaya makes it in? She was quite good in Malcolm and Marie, though unfortunately the film itself seems to not be a hit within awards circuit?

Viola Davis - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Andra Day - The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby - Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand - Nomadland
Carey Mulligan - Promising Young Woman

Alt: Amy Adams - Hillbilly Elegy

ACTOR
Riz Ahmed - Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins - The father
Gary Oldman - Mank
Steven Yeun - Minari

Alt. Tom Hanks – News of the World

I think the five looks pretty good here for SAG.

Riz Ahmed - Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins - The Father
Gary Oldman - Mank
Tahar Rahim - The Mauritanian

Alt: Steven Yeun - Minari

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Maria Bakalova - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close - Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman - The father
Jodie Foster - The Mauritanian
Youn Yuh-jung - Minari

Alt. Amanda Seyfried – Mank

I'm just amazed that Maria is in this conversation, because it's comedy, it's raunchy, Oscars just doesn't typcially like these things? Maybe in any other year, she wouldn't be?

Glenn Close - Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman - The Father
Jodie Foster - The Mauritanian
Amanda Seyfried - Mank
Yuh-Jung Youn - Minari

Alt: Maria Bakalova - Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Chadwick Boseman - Da 5 Bloods
Sasha Baron Cohen - The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya - Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr. - One night in Miami
Paul Raci - Sound of Metal

Alt.Jared Leto – The little things

Boseman for the double noms! I saw the trailer for The Little Things and man, Jared Leto looked creepy as heck! There is another dark horse: Alan Kim from Minari. Watch out for the little 'I'm not pretty, I'm good looking' guy.

Chadwick Boseman - Da 5 Bloods
Sacha Baron Cohen - The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya - Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr - One Night in Miami
Paul Raci - Sound of Metal

Alt: Bill Murray - On the Rocks

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Alt. Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank is very screenplay heavy, but I found Chicago 7 underwhelming. I have not seen the other pictures that could be nominated, so I don't know how good their screenplays are. Griz is probably right in including Soul, because this is where the Animated winner typically finds its additional big nomination. However, I like Soul less than other people probably did, so I'm not sure how much to stake on its nomination?

Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Soul
The Trial of the Chiago 7

Alt: Judas and the Black Messiah

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Father
First Cow
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Nomadland
One night in Miami ...

Alt. News of the World

First Cow seems wordy. You know what else is but may not be remembered enough for a nomination? I'm thinking of ending things. I actually saw that one, and it's depressive, as Charlie Kaufman's films typically are.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
The Father
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Nomadland
One Night in Miami

Alt: The White Tiger

That's all we've got. Okay, other things I look forward to hearing? Tenet in anything. Zendaya surprises. Also, whatever happened to The Dig?

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Summary only...

Oscars 2020 Winners (predictions and actuals): May the morning after be bright with sunshine and minimal bloodbath

Parasite

Oscar is tonight and it's time for last minute predictions! Added my friend Griz's predictions in purple. May the best prognosticator win at doing things that don't matter! (Actual results will be in red).

So, a few thoughts about the show and the winners :
- New hashtags: #oscarstryhard, #oscarsgoodnoracist, and #oscarsokorean
- PARASITE
- How amazing is Bong Joon-ho and his speeches? The best of the night, honouring the fellow nominees so beautifully and unexpectedly.
- The cow and the milk and the cow's milk in your coffee. Well, they did give the prize to Joaquin, so I guess that was par for the course.
- WTF EMIMEM? WHY?
- Does anyone know what Renee was on?
- James Corden and Rebel Wilson in cat costumes playing with the mic was a thing. Unfortunately, we also had Emimen and Phoenix so there were lots of things.
- Eilish was the least weird of the night.
- Maya and Kristen were funny and NOT weird. Why was that so hard to do?
- Lovely speech from the woman composer, Hildur Guðnadóttir.
- I love Olivia Colman.
- Sigourney Weaver said "All women are superheroes"? Speak for yourself, sister. I'm here for the okay people. *channeling Boyega*

PICTURE
Parasite!!!!!!!
Alt. 1917

I'm going to be bold and predict something outrageous. Come on SAG, you can help it!

1917
Alt. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

DIRECTOR
Sam Mendes - 1917
Alt. Bong Joon-ho - Parasite!!!!!

This is Sam Mendes' to lose. <----- and lose he did! Wowza.

Sam Mendes - 1917
Alt. Bong Joon Ho - Parasite

ACTRESS
Renee Zellwegger - Judy
Alt. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story

The acting categories have been a clean swept, so I'd expect no difference at the Oscars. It's so sad that Scarlett will go home empty handed - she's had a major year, and would've won with Jojo in another year.

Renee Zellweger - Judy 
Alt. Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story  

ACTOR
Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
Alt. Antonio Banderas – Pain and glory

Joaquin Phoenix - Joker 
Alt. Adam Driver - Marriage Story 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Laura Dern - Marriage story
Alt. Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit

Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Alt. Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit 

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brad Pitt - Once upon a time ... in Hollywood
Alt. Anthony Hopkins – The two popes

Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Alt. Joe Pesci - The Irishman

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin Wong - Parasite
Alt. Noah Baumbach - Marriage Story

WGA gave it to Parasite, and Bong's fans may be pushing for this award for him at the very least.

Parasite
Alt. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Taika Waititi - Jojo Rabbit
Alt. Anthony McCarten - The two popes

I hope Jojo gets it - consolation prize for Waititi.

Jojo Rabbit 
Alt. Little Women 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Parasite
Alt. Pain and glory

As if there's another choice. Too bad really, because I'd pick Pain and Glory over Parasite.

Parasite (South Korea)
Alt. Pain and Glory (Spain)

ANIMATED
Klaus
Alt. Toy story 4

I would've picked Toy Story 4, but the Annie surprisingly went to Klaus so I dunno.

Toy Story 4
Alt:Klaus

DOCUMENTARY
American Factory
Alt. Honeyland

Having seen American Factory, I'd say it's a shoo-in because the Oscars is concerned with Americans (but also, serious issues).

American Factory
Alt. Honeyland

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Roger Deakins - 1917
Alt. Robert Richardson - Once upon a time ... in Hollywood

Freakin' Deakins.

1917
Alt. Joker 

EDITING
Parasite x Ford v Ferrari!
Alt. Jojo Rabbit

This is a big technical category for Parasite to win, and determines most of the time the Best Picture winner.

Ford v Ferrari
Alt: Parasite

PRODUCTION DESIGN
1917
Alt. Once upon a time ... in Hollywood

It's open, but 1917 just looks laborious.

Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood
Alt: 1917

VISUAL EFFECTS
1917
Alt. The Lion King

I'm going to 'serious.'

The Lion King
Alt. 1917

SOUND MIXING
Ford v Ferrari x Joker
Alt. 1917

Ford v Ferrari 
Alt. 1917 

SOUND EDITING
Joker
Alt. Ford v Ferrari

I'm only switching around because Joker may get something technical and this may be a good category for it to take. But there's no reason why Ford couldn't take this category either. Flip a coin!

Ford v Ferrari
Alt. 1917

MAKE UP and HAIRSTYLING
Bombshell
Alt. 1917

There's Judy, and maybe Judy may take it. But the whole thing around Bombshell has been how much Charlize looks like whatsherface, so I'm guessing it'll get something here.

Judy
Alt. Joker

COSTUME
Little Women
Alt. Jojo Rabbit

Consolation prize?

Little Women
Alt. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

SCORE
1917
Alt. Joker

Very notable song sung in the film, and notable soundtrack too, so I'm betting on that.

Joker
Alt. 1917 

SONG
Rocketman
Alt. Frozen II

Elton's to lose.

Rocketman
Alt. Toy Story 4

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