Oscars 2016 Winners Predix: May the hairiest bear win!

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It's time for the Revenant to take everything. Here are our predictions (my friend Griz's predix in purple). It looks like we agree on most winners, so the tech categories are going to separate the olive oil from ... uh ... water. Or maybe they'll sink us both! No matter, there will be a winning prognosticator!

PICTURE
The Revenant
Alt. Spotlight

The Revenant
Alt: Spotlight

Editor Predix: Well, what looked like a close three-horse race between Revenant, Spotlight, and the Big Short (thanks, Guilds!) now seems to be a runaway train for Revenant. I guess we're gonna find out which Guild got it wrong.

DIRECTOR
Alejandro G, Iñárritu - The Revenant
Alt. George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road

Alejandro G. Iñárritu - The Revenant
Alt: George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road

Editor Predix: I would be soooooo happy for Miller to win here, so I'm putting him in as a wishful gesture. But, Iñárritu is going to be hard to beat.

ACTRESS
Brie Larson - Room
Alt. Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn

Brie Larson - Room
Alt: Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn

Editor Predix: I cannot imagine Brie losing this one.

ACTOR
Leonardo di Caprio - The Revenant
Alt. Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs

Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Alt: Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs

Editor Predix: It's Leo's Oscar to lose, and he's gonna be King of the World.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt. Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs

Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Alt: Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs

Editor Predix: Alicia is going to win for a stellar year, unless Kate pulls a Globes surprise. Let's hope not, no matter what Titanics fans would give for a Jack and Rose award union.

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt. Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Alt: Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies

Editor Predix: It's a little strange that the Academy is going to award a "muscle man" actor like Stallone. Not that he doesn't deserve it (I can't say either way, Creed sight unseen), but the Academy is a little snooty and traditional when it comes to their choices, so ... Mark Rylance has a chance!

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Spotlight
Alt. Ex-Machina

Spotlight
Alt: Inside Out

Editor Predix: Spotlight coming home empty handed would be kinda cruel, so I think it'll take Screenplay. It's amazing how far a front runner has fallen.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Big Short
Alt. Room

The Big Short
Alt: The Martian

Editor Predix: Which surprising-director-nominated film will get the consolation screenplay prize, Room or The Big Short? I'm betting on the latter, for all those fourth wall breaks.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE
Son of Saul
Alt. Mustang

Son of Saul (Hungary)
Alt: Mustang (France)

Editor Predix: I'm betting on the only film to have survived Cannes until now. Plus, the Holocaust is the Academy's favourite subject?

ANIMATED
Inside Out
Alt. Anomalisa

Inside Out
Alt: Anomalisa

Editor Predix: Inside Out got this.

DOCUMENTARY
Amy
Alt. The look of silence

Amy
Alt: The Look of Silence

Editor Predix: I haven't seen Amy, but I really can not imagine it being better than the immensely moving Silence, the necessary companion to the masterful The Act of Killing. It's too bad Amy could just win on name recognition alone.

EDITING
The Big Short
Alt. Mad Max: Fury Road

Mad Max: Fury Road
Alt: The Revenant

Editor Predix: I know what I'm rooting for, but the Big Short is an "important message" movie with flashy editing and there's also the possibility of a Revenant sweep, so it's an uphill battle for Fury Road. I'm gonna cross my sore toes for it!

CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Revenant
Alt. Carol

The Revenant
Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road

Editor Predix: This category is actually more open than others, considering the alternatives to Revenant are all viable winners.

PRODUCTION DESIGN
Mad Max: Fury Road
Alt. The Revenant

Mad Max: Fury Road
Alt: The Revenant

Editor Predix: Go Mad Max! I'm a little scared that it'll come home undeservedly empty handed, simply because of its "action" genre.

VISUAL EFFECTS
Mad Max: Fury Road
Alt. Ex-Machina

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Alt: The Revenant

Editor Predix: I'm tempted to predict The Revenant for that bear fight (pretty good), but I'm gonna have faith that the tech categories will spread the wealth a little.

SOUND MIXING
The Revenant
Alt. Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant
Alt: Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Editor Predix: This is where "epic" counts. Let the fight for tech wins begin: Mad Max vs. Revenant, to the golden death!

SOUND EDITING
Mad Max: Fury Road
Alt. The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road

Editor Predix: I would've put Revenant again, but why not mix it up a little?

MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING
The Revenant
Alt. Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant
Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road

Editor Predix: Making Leo look filthy? Oscar!

COSTUME
Carol
Alt. The Danish Girl

Carol
Alt: Mad Max: Fury Road

Editor Predix: This can be a surprising category, but the Academy tends to favour old timey costumes, so I'd say Carol inches ahead of The Danish Girl by Cate Blanchett's curls.

SCORE
The Hateful Eight
Alt. Star Wars

The Hateful Eight
Alt: Bridge of Spies

Editor Predix: Please let it not be Star Wars. The Hateful Eight's surest bet is this category. It'll be fun to see a Tarantino film's soundtrack recognized officially for once.

SONG
The Hunting Ground
Alt. Fifty Shades of Grey

The Hunting Ground
Alt: Youth

Editor Predix: The biggest obstacle against the Weeknd getting an Oscar is Lady Gaga. Between the two, I'm gonna bet on Gaga, who has been quite successful in gaining more "prestigious" recognition these days.



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