Oscars 2011 winners predictions!

Here we go, busting our prediction war chest:

PICTURE
The Social Network
The King's Speech
Black Swan
Inception
The Fighter
Toy Story 3
The kids are all right
True grit
127 Hours
Winter's bone

Will win: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
Potential upset: The Social Network {Griz: same}
No way in hell: The rest of the category

DIRECTOR
David Fincher
Coen Brothers
Darren Aronofsky
David O. Russell
Tom Hooper

Will win: David Fincher {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Tom Hooper {Griz: same}
No way in hell: The rest of the category

ACTOR
Colin Firth
Jesse Eisenberg
James Franco
Jeff Bridges
Javier Bardem

Will win: Colin Firth {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Javier Bardem {Griz: James Franco}
No way in hell: Jesse Eisenberg

ACTRESS
Natalie Portman
Annette Benning
Jennifer Lawrence
Nicole Kidman
Michelle Williams

Will win: Natalie Portman {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Annette Benning {Griz: same}
No way in hell: The rest of the category

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale
Geoffrey Rush
Mark Ruffalo
John Hawkes
Jeremy Renner

Will win: Christian Bale {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Geoffrey Rush {Griz: same}
No way in hell: Mark Ruffalo

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Melissa Leo
Jacki Weaver
Amy Adams
Hailee Steinfeld
Helena Bonham Carter

Will win: Melissa Leo {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Jacki Weaver {Griz: Amy Adams}
No way in hell: Helena Bonham Carter

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Another year
The Fighter
Inception
The kids are all right
The King's speech

Will win: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
Potential upset: The Kids are All Right {Griz: Inception}
No way in hell: Inception

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Social Network
True Grit
127 Hours
Winter's bone
Toy Story 3

Will win: The Social Network {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Toy Story 3 {Griz: True Grit}
No way in hell: 127 Hours

EDITING
The Social Network
The Fighter
The King's speech
Black Swan
127 hours

Will win: The Social Network {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Black Swan {Griz: The King's Speech}
No way in hell: The Fighter

CINEMATOGRAPHY
True Grit
The Social Network
Inception
Black Swan
The King's speech

Will win: Inception {Griz: True Grit}
Potential upset: The King's Speech {Griz: Inception}
No way in hell: Black Swan

ART DIRECTION
Inception
Harry Potter
The King's speech
True Grit
Alice in Wonderland

Will win: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Black Swan {Griz: Alice in Wonderland}
No way in hell: Harry Potter

COSTUMES
Alice in wonderland
I am Love
The King's speech
True Grit
The Tempest

Will win: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Alice in Wonderland {Griz: same}
No way in hell: I am love

SOUND MIXING
Inception
The Social Network
Salt
True Grit
The King's Speech

Will win: Inception {Griz: same}
Potential upset: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
No way in hell: Salt

SOUND EDITING
Inception
True Grit
Toy Story 3
Tron Legacy
Unstoppable

Will win: Inception {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Toy Story 3 {Griz: Tron Legacy}
No way in hell: Unstoppable

FOREIGN FILM FEATURE
Biutiful
Incendies
Dogtooth
In a better world
Outside the law

Will win: Incendies {Griz: In a better world}
Potential upset: Biutiful {Griz: Incendies}
No way in hell: Dogtooth

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Gasland
Inside job
Restrepo
Exit through the gift shop
Waste land

Will win: Inside Job {Griz: Exit through the gift shop}
Potential upset: Exit through the gift shop {Griz: Inside Job}
No way in hell: Gasland

ANIMATED FEATURE
Toy Story 3
How to train your dragon
The illusionist

Will win: Toy Story 3 {Griz: same}
Potential upset: How to train your dragon {Griz: The Illusionist}
No way in hell: The illusionist

VISUAL EFFECTS
Inception
Alice in wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows
Hereafter
Iron man 2

Will win: Inception {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Alice in Wonderland {Griz: same}
No way in hell: Hereafter

MAKE UP
The Way Back
Barney's Version
The wolfman

Will win: The wolfman {Griz: same}
Potential upset: Barney's Version {Griz: same}
No way in hell: The way back

SCORE
Inception
The Social Network
The King's speech
127 Hours
How to train your dragon

Will win: The King's Speech {Griz: same}
Potential upset: The Social Network {Griz: same}
No way in hell: How to train your dragon

SONG
Coming home, Country strong
We belong together, Toy Story 3
If I rise , 127 Hours
I see the light, Tangled

Will win: We belong together, Toy Story 3 {Griz: I see the light, Tangled}
Potential upset: If I rise, 127 Hours {Griz: We belong together, Toy Story 3}
No way in hell: Coming home, Country Strong

TALLY:
The King's Speech: 6 wins - Picture, Actor, O. Screenplay, Art Direction, Costumes, Score
The Social Network: 3 wins - Director, A. Screenplay, Editing
Inception: 4 wins - Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
The Fighter: 2 wins - S. Actor, S. Actress
Toy Story 3: 2 wins - Animated, Song
Black Swan: 1 win - Actress
Incendies: 1 win - Foreign Film
Inside Job: 1 win - Documentary
The wolfman: 1 win - Make up

Griz's TALLY:
The King's Speech: 6 wins - Picture, Actor, O. Screenplay, Art Direction, Costumes, Score
The Social Network: 3 wins - Director, A. Screenplay, Editing
Inception: 3 wins - Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
The Fighter: 2 wins - S. Actor, S. Actress
Black Swan: 1 win - Actress
True Grit: 1 win - Cinematography
The wolfman: 1 win - Make up
Tangled: 1 win - Song
Toy Story 3: 1 win - Animated
In a better world: 1 win - Foreign Film
Exit through the gift shop: 1 win - Documentary

NOTABLES: We agree on most wins, with a few minor exceptions. We both predict a picture-director split, with King's Speech taking Picture and Social Network taking director. The major categories we differ on are Cinematography and Foreign Film, with Griz going for True Grit and In a better world, and I'm going for Inception and the homegrown Incendies, respectively. Let the Oscar Supreme predictor race on!

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