Oscars Winners Predix 2025: It's anybody's picture

 

It's wide open out there. A very weird Oscars indeed.

My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

PICTURE

Anora

Alt. Emilia Pérez

Conclave 

Alt. The Brutalist

DIRECTOR

Brady Corbet - The Brutalist
Alt. Sean Baker 

 
Brady Corbet 

Alt. Sean Baker

ACTRESS

Demi Moore    

Alt. Fernanda Torres

 

Demi Moore    

Alt. Mikey Madison 

ACTOR

Adrien Brody   

Alt.Timothée Chalamet  

 

Ralph Fiennes 
Alt. Adrien Brody 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Zoe Saldana

Alt. Ariana Grande

Zoe Saldana

Alt: Isabella Rossellini

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Kieran Culkin   
Alt. Jeremy Strong

Kieran Culkin 
Alt. Jeremy Strong

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Anora      
Alt. A Real Pain

 

A Real Pain       

Alt. Anora      

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

Conclave 
Alt. Emilia Pérez 

 

Conclave
Alt. Nickel Boys 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Inside Out 2
Alt. The Wild Robot

The Wild Robot 

Alt. Inside Out 2 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

Emilia Pérez - France 

Alt. I'm still here 

 

Emilia Pérez - France 

Alt: I'm still here

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

No Other Land 

Alt. Black Box Diaries

No Other Land
Alt. Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
 

 

EDITING

 

Anora
Alt. Emilia Pérez

Conclave 

Alt: The Brutalist

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

 

The Brutalist

Alt: Wicked

 

The Brutalist  

Alt: Maria 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

 

Wicked

Alt: Dune Part II

 
Wicked 

Alt: Conclave

 

COSTUME DESIGN

Wicked

Alt: Gladiator II

Wicked  

Alt: Conclave

 

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

The Substance

Alt: Wicked

The Substance 

Alt: Nosferatu

 

SOUND

Dune: Part Two

Alt: A complete unknown

Dune: Part Two 

Alt: Wicked

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

 

Dune: Part Two

Alt: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

 

Dune: Part Two 

Alt: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

 

Wicked
Alt. The Wild Robot
 

Conclave 

Alt: The Wild Robot

 

ORIGINAL SONG

Mi Camino - Emilia Pérez

Alt. Never too late - Elton John: Never Too Late

Like a Bird - Sing Sing 

Alt: Never too late - Elton John: Never Too Late

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Oscars nominations 2025: Message films galore

Should this be called the Oscars blog?

My friend Griz's predix are in purple, as usual.

PICTURE

• Anora 
• The Brutalist 
• A Complete Unknown 
• Conclave Dune: Part Two 
• Emilia Pérez 
• A Real Pain Nickel Boys
  
• Sing Sing I'm still here
  
• The Substance 
• Wicked

• Anora 
• The Brutalist 
• A Complete Unknown 
• Conclave 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Emilia Pérez 
• Nickel Boys 
• A Real Pain 
• The Substance 
• Wicked

DIRECTOR

• Jacques Audiard - Emilia Perez
  
• Sean Baker - Anora
  
• Edward Berger - Conclave James Mangold - A complete unknown
  
• Brady Corbet - The Brutalist
  
• Jon M. Chu - Wicket
  

Alt. Coralie Fargeat – The Substance

• Jacques Audiard  
• Sean Baker 
• Edward Berger  
• Brady Corbet 
• Coralie Fargeat

Alt: RaMell Ross

 

James Mangold did not do it better than Denis. 

 

ACTRESS

• Demi Moore    
• Mikey Madison 
• Cynthia Erivo  
• Karla Sofía Gascón  
• Fernanda Torres

Alt. Pamela Anderson

• Demi Moore    
• Mikey Madison 
• Cynthia Erivo  
• Karla Sofía Gascón  
• Fernanda Torres

Alt: Marianne Jean-Baptiste

 

ACTOR

• Adrien Brody  
• Timothée Chalamet 
• Daniel Craig 
• Ralph Fiennes  
• Colman Domingo

Alt. Sebastian Stan

• Adrien Brody  
• Timothée Chalamet 
• Daniel Craig 
• Ralph Fiennes  
• Colman Domingo 

Alt: Sebastian Stan

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Jamie Lee Curtis Monica Barbaro
  
• Danielle Deadwyler 
• Ariana Grande  
• Margaret Qualley Isabella Rossellini
  
• Zoe Saldana

Alt. Felicity Jones

• Jamie Lee Curtis 
• Ariana Grande  
• Felicity Jones 
• Isabella Rossellini 
• Zoe Saldana

Alt: Margaret Qualley

Isabella's nom here is a total career nom, because she was barely a blip in a very male film. Monica Barbaro did not deserve this either - she was not the better actress than Elle Fanning. 

SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Yura Borisov  
• Kieran Culkin  
• Edward Norton  
• Guy Pearce  
• Jeremy Strong

Alt. Jonathan Bailey

• Yura Borisov  
• Kieran Culkin  
• Edward Norton  
• Guy Pearce  
• Jeremy Strong

Alt: Clarence Maclin

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• Anora      
• A Real Pain      
• The Brutalist  
• September 5    
• The Substance

Alt. Challengers

• Anora      
• A Real Pain      
• The Brutalist  
• Hard Truths 
• The Substance

Alt: September 5

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

• A Complete Unknown 
• Conclave 
• Emilia Pérez 
• Sing Sing 
• Wicked << Probably not good for Wicked's best picture prospect (not that it's a serious threat)
  

Alt. Nickel Boys

• A Complete Unknown 
• Conclave 
• Emilia Pérez 
• Nickel Boys 
• Sing Sing

Alt: Wicked

 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

• Flow
• Inside Out 2 
• Memoir of a Snail 
• Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl 
• The Wild Robot

Alt. Moana 2

• Flow 
• Inside Out 2 
• Memoir of a Snail 
• Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl 
• The Wild Robot 

Alt: Moana 2
 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

• I’m Still Here - Brazil 
• Emilia Pérez - France 
• The Seed of the Sacred Fig - Germany  
• Vermiglio - Italy 
• Flow - Latvia

Alt. The girl with the needle - Denmark

• I’m Still Here - Brazil 
• Emilia Pérez - France 
• Kneecap - Ireland 
• The Seed of the Sacred Fig - Germany  
• Flow - Latvia 

Alt: The girl with the needle - Denmark

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

• Daughters Black Box Diaries
  
• No Other Land 
• Porcelain War 
• Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat 
• Sugarcane 

Alt. Union

• Black Box Diaries
• Daughters
• No Other Land
• Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
• Sugarcane

Alt. Dahomey

 

 

EDITING

• Anora
• Conclave
• Dune: Part Two
• Emilia Pérez
• Wicked

Alt: The Brutalist

• Anora 
• The Brutalist 
• Conclave 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Emilia Pérez 

Alt: Wicked

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

• The Brutalist
• Conclave - Maria << Wow, not good for Conclave
  
• Dune: Part Two
• Nickel Boys Emilia Perez
  
• Nosferatu

Alt: Wicked

• The Brutalist 
• Conclave 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Nickel Boys 
• Nosferatu  

Alt: Emilia Perez 

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

• The Brutalist
• Conclave
• Dune: Part Two
• Nosferatu
• Wicked

Alt: A Complete Unknown

• The Brutalist 
• Conclave 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Nosferatu
• Wicked 

Alt: Gladiator II

 

COSTUME DESIGN

• A Complete Unknown
• Conclave
• Dune: Part Two
• Nosferatu
• Wicked

Alt: Gladiator II << SO LAME that this got in over Dune.

• Conclave 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Gladiator II 
• Nosferatu 
• Wicked  

Alt: A Complete Unknown

 

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

• A Different Man
• Dune: Part II
• Nosferatu
• The Substance
• Wicked

Alt: Emilia Perez

• A Different Man 
• Beetlejuice Beetlejuice 
• Nosferatu 
• The Substance 
• Wicked  

Alt: Dune: Part II

 

SOUND

• A Complete Unknown
• Conclave The Wild Robot
  
• Dune: Part Two
• Emilia Pérez
• Wicked

Alt: Gladiator II

• A Complete Unknown 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Emilia Pérez 
• Gladiator II 
• Wicked  

Alt: Alien: Romulus

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

• Dune: Part Two
• Gladiator II
• Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
• Deadpool & Wolverine Alien: Romulus
  
• Wicked

Alt: Better Man

 

• Better Man 
• Dune: Part Two 
• Gladiator II 
• Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 
• Wicked  

Alt: Twisters

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

• The Brutalist
• Challengers Wicked <<< Challengers was ROBBED!
  
• Conclave
• Emilia Pérez
• The Wild Robot

Alt: Nosferatu

• The Brutalist 
• Challengers 
• Conclave 
• Emilia Pérez 
• The Wild Robot  

Alt: Nosferatu

 

ORIGINAL SONG

• Never too late - Elton John: Never Too Late
• El Mal - Emilia Pérez
• Mi Camino - Emilia Pérez
• The Journey - The Six Triple Eight
• Kiss the sky - The Wild Robot Like a bird - Sing Sing
  

Alt: Harper and Will Go West - Will & Harper

• El Mal - Emilia Pérez 
• Mi Camino - Emilia Pérez 
• Like a Bird - Sing Sing 
• The Journey - The Six Triple Eight 
• Kiss the sky - The Wild Robot  

Alt: Compress/Repress - Challengers

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Oscars 2024: Year of upsets, maybe? And winners!

 

I'm banking on some upsets this year, given how wide open some of the categories are. That'd be good! A little excitement for a dying show that outside of people like me and Griz (in purple), noone cares because WHO GOES TO THE MOVIES?? Winners in red.

BEST PICTURE

Oppenheimer

Alt: The Zone of Interest

 

Oppenheimer

Alt: Anatomy of a Fall 

 

Years from now, without the context of running with Barbie to make him popular that one summer, noone's gonna understand how Oppenheimer went on a tear and won everything.

 

DIRECTOR

Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer

Alt: Jonathan Glazer - The Zone of Interest 

 

Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer 

Alt: Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things 

 

ACTRESS 

Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt: Emma Stone - Poor Things 

 

Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon 

Alt: Emma Stone - Poor Things

 

Is it an upset if we're all predicting it? 

 

ACTOR 

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 

Alt: Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers

 

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer 

Alt: Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers 

 

Having seen The Holdovers, I can't believe it is a favourite for an upset in this category. Or any category outside of supporting actress. I guess I still don't like Alexander Payne's work?

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers 

Alt: American Ferrera - Barbie

 

Da'Vine Joy Randolph - The Holdovers 

Alt: Danielle Brooks - The Color Purple 

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR 

Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer 

Alt: Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things

 

Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer 

Alt: Ryan Gosling - Barbie

 

Charles Melton wuz ROBBED.

 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 

Anatomy of a Fall

Alt: The Holdovers

 

The Holdovers 

Alt: Anatomy of a Fall

 

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

Poor Things

Alt: The Zone of Interest

 

American Fiction 

Alt: Oppenheimer 

It's not going to be Oppenheimer - not its strength. I was going to say Zone of Interest, because it looks serious, but this is Poor Things' best chance outside of Actress and Production. This is a very stacked category though, and anyone could walk away with it, including Barbie (to make up for the lack of a director nom for Greta?).

 

EDITING 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Anatomy of a Fall 

 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Anatomy of a Fall

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Killers of The Flower Moon

 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Poor Things

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN 

Poor Things 

Alt: Barbie 

 

Poor Things 

Alt: Barbie

 

COSTUME DESIGN 

Barbie 

Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Barbie 

Alt: Poor Things

 

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING 

Maestro 

Alt: Poor Things 

 

Maestro 

Alt: Poor Things

 

It's the darn nose.

 

SOUND 

The Zone of Interest

Alt: Oppenheimer

 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: The Zone of Interest

 

VISUAL EFFECTS 

The Creator 

Alt: Godzilla Minus One 

 

The Creator 

Alt: Godzilla Minus One 

Gozilla probably had better effects, but The Creator is more of an Oscars-flavour movie. You never know though, it could upset!

 

ORIGINAL SCORE 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon 

 

Oppenheimer 

Alt: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

ORIGINAL SONG 

"What Was I Made For?" - Barbie 

Alt: "I'm Just Ken" - Barbie 

 

"What Was I Made For?" - Barbie 

Alt: "I'm Just Ken" - Barbie

 

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM 

The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) 

Alt: Society of the Snow (Spain) 

 

The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) 

Alt: Society of the Snow (Spain)

 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

Alt: The Boy and the Heron 

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

Alt: The Boy and the Heron

 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE 

20 Days in Mariupol 

Alt: To Kill A Tiger

 

20 Days in Mariupol 

Alt: Bobi Wine: The People's President

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Summary only...